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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly, this isn’t a marginal event where we loose snow to melting. Ice will be an issue on the south shore
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Looks like OES. Probably have to get pretty far inland to get to snow though
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    If that would to occurs even coastal locations (excluding jersey shore) can throw up double digits
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I remember a system years ago that has a south to north moving band with 4”/hour rates. It Moved relatively quickly but was incredible.
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    This is ridiculous. What is happening down there will have very little effect up here. We are right next to the cold air source
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s all about the dew point. Temps will plummet once the precip starts
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I doubt the warm push makes it north of the park. I have seen this multiple times in the past. That seems to be where it likes to stop
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The airmass is great at the surface. That should keep temps below freezing. I stil think the south shore goes to sleet and ice after 6-8”. Snow removal there is going to be a bitch. where I am on the far uws looks great for a foot. I doubt I see more then a short period of sleet an freezing drizzle here.
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Great run for the coast(improvements). For those that threw in the towel you watch more post less. wind direction is everything for the south shore. If we can keep as much north in the wind as possible and keep that CAD going it may never go above freezing. A great example is March 07. In some recent big storms we melted allot, If not all the front end thump snow. This will not be the case this time for those hoping for a white Christmas. With all the sleet and ice your talking pure glacier
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The big question for western li is does the temp stay below freezing. We haven’t seen that in some recent events that had a change over. But if it does snow removal will be very difficult with sleet and ice. I like 4” at my parents on the bay 6” at my place in Lynbrook and 10” at work on the far uws
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I wouldn’t automatically assume your going to mix. When all is said and done 95% of your precip likely falls as snow with maybe a period of light sleet and freezing drizzle which will hardly be noticed. Your certainly not going above freezing. The CAD is going to be intense on NE winds. For those that do not think it’s possible look at November 18. Watch that wind direction. south shore Suffolk and the jersey shore are a different story being more open to warming on that wind
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    He’s clearly trolling. He occasionally has some good input. But this is total Bs. Unless he’s talking about the jersey shore
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Looking more and more likely we can start locking in 12”+ for the metro. As always with these big systems someone will sit under banding and approach 2’. I’m still hesitant for the south shore. Could easily get on the wrong side of the coastal front at some point
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Mostly rain on the uws. Had a few pellets at the onset
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly, just look at the what it did with Jan 15. It’s going to snow in NYC. It’s just a matter dog how much mix we get. I like where I’ll be on the far NW UWS. Right on the beaches may struggle do to the warm water temps and early season nature of this storm
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The big concern in the city is what happens to all the outdoor dinning setups. If we do end up getting over a foot, where does all the snow go??? Interesting times on the way!!
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I think about that all the time. Equinox has the potential for more vert then any mountain in Vermont. The terrain also appears to be very challenging (maybe too challenging) The lack of snowfall at the lower elevations part makes sense though in the days before snow making. It’s a perfect location too with a great town right there.
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Pushing moderate snow at the moment on the yes, ground is whitening on colder surfaces
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Flurries on the uws
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I was just looking at that on radar. Very persistent with some solid echos by OES standards. I could see 4” if the ground truth is solid.
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Awesome! I love that place. The top of the lift has some incredible views of the Southern Greens. It’s also a great snow spot as it always seems to upslope well by SVT standards. I hike and ride it several times a winter.
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    For a week yes. But after a week it would get old real fast. The weather is too extreme to enjoy. On many days it’s just not humanly possible to be outside for more then a few minutes at a time. I have been out in -20 with 40mph winds in the Vermont mountains and it’s not at all appealing. The major thing I’m liking about this winter so far (cold season) are the differences from the last two. The last two winters were as bad as it can get for the immediate coast so to see a different storm track and pattern is at least somewhat encouraging. We almost had a real shutout last winter with 3” near the bay.
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’ll answer you here from the other post. Yes there were mangled flaked mixed in when I was leaving my apt. I’m just south of the southern state on Franklin ave. Not the worst snow spot on the island. Probably right on the rain snow line in some marginal events. I actually witnessed that last winter with one event were I had an inch at the apt and there was only a dusting at the train station. It can be that tight at times.
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s over anywhere west of central Suffolk. The highest terrain out there must have snow mixed in with that deform band. That would be 2-4” an hour if it were colder
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly, you can see the snow going by overhead. I had a few mangled flakes driving to my parents in wantagh from lynbrook. I thought for sure you would have seen at least some snow there being higher, but the winds trip across the sound is probably ruining that. I bet the top of the Nordstrom tower in Manhattan (it has a flat roof and would be an epic observation spot at 1550’) had a few inches
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