LongBeachSurfFreak
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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak
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The south shore does suck for snow. But this one has a great wind direction out of the NNE so despite water temps being in the mid 40s near shore it wilL not matter. snowing nicely uws. Expecting 4” here and 6@ at home on the SS -
For the time being, just interesting. The radar beam height and what’s evaporating close to the ground
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Strange precip hole right in the area expected to see the highest totals.
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I was just thinking about yesterday’s event and deep snow cover in south Jersey. Had that not been there temps may not have cut it city southeast
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That’s a thing of beauty for peak climo. Allot would have to go wrong for us not to score in that pattern.
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That’s generally the case in these types of setups. A couple hours of 1-2”/hr rates adds up fast. We have been so spoiled the last two decades with blockbusters that we forget this is a bread and butter event for our area, ask the 80s.
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Even with temps now above freezing I’m having a ton of ice issues on campus. Luckily it’s winter break. Yesterday’s 19 really chilled paved and brick surfaces and it just takes time and a lot of salt to stop.
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- freezing rain
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It’s a good call after getting burned Monday. 3” is just enough to plow and shovel, especially since it will be accumulating on all surfaces. Often in marginal event’s especially here in the city you may have 6” on the grass but on really an inch or two of slush on the pavement. There is still a decent upside depending on where banding sets up, someone in our area will see 8”.
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You can include the city itself in that currently. On the uws currently sleet and freezing rain mix. Paved surfaces with a crunchy glaze. Not sure how long we can hold on to this.
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I agree in regards to the nyc urban heat island. It hasn’t changed much in comparison to other city’s to our south which have experienced much more growth. In fact the NYC heat island was fully functional as early as the early 1900s. It’s impossible to say what any given airmass would have been like 25 years ago though. This wasn’t a true arctic cold shot with strong CAA to begin with.
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Nothing better then a real cold snow storm. There were a bunch of good one in the 13/14-14/15 winters
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You can still put up big numbers if the lift is intense enough. Boston saw a 12” storm in December 03 which was supposed to be 2-4” but instead it snowed 2-4” an hour for a couple hours
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One of our next big climate milestones will be a winter we’re it doesn’t drop below 20. That would bring us to zone 8 and introduce allot of semi tropical plants and trees (many more hardy palms) luckily we are already safe this winter with 19 at the park this morning.
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january 3rd potential coastal grazer
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to forkyfork's topic in New York City Metro
Good trends for at least seeing accumulations for the city. The issue is, we will need 1/2” hr rates to overcome the warm ground for any pavement accumulation. That’s the snow removal side of me. I told my management I’m available if need be, but they are hesitant on making a call as yet on the uws. Colleges aren’t going to call in workers during winter break without a better guaranty. I like 1” colder surfaces CPk. 3” JFK. This one really splits the city -
january 3rd potential coastal grazer
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to forkyfork's topic in New York City Metro
Based on past similar events, there will likely be a northern band that produces some decent rates and that’s where you see 1-2”. While just north of that it’s all subsidence and a few flakes. It’s way too early to say where that band sets up. -
january 3rd potential coastal grazer
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to forkyfork's topic in New York City Metro
Best to go into this not expecting much. Rates will likely be light which means mostly a grass and car topper. Obviously this isn’t a true repeat of feb 5/6 10 but the net results are similar. -
The beginning decades had one 40 degree winter and lots below 30. This plays into why snow is so commonly associated with Christmas. December 89 is one of my most distinct early weather memories. Playing on the ice on the frozen canals where i grew up. The continuous cold and very minimal snow. Which all came from a couple clippers.
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There are way better places to live if your going to live somewhere for snow in the north east. Tug hill puts them to shame most years. With limited cold moving over the lakes this isn’t one of them. Who wouldn’t want to experience 76/77 there. 400+ inches.
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Nice inversion today above 3k 38 and snow dwindling fast at 850’ SVT
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Depends on where, rode Stratton tues/weds and with minimal trails open it got dicey quickly with ice and Moguls. Driving back currently from sugar bush where it was much much better. Still limited terrain but conditions were so much better overall with limited ice and much more snow.
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Decided to make the drive north today from SVT where its barely winter. My house this winter in west townshend is only at 800’ and it shows. A couple inches of slush. Things are only marginally better at Stratton. The winter line (real snow cover) starts about 30 miles north on 91. Hoping for some better conditions at the bush.
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The only thing good, is it’s not displacing and dumping into Eurasia. Other then that it’s more of the same.
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A few flurries on the uws currently. Finishing a project at work and heading to my house in SVT for the week, where winter is winter
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Nice find, they should be -40. That’s one hell of a departure and incredibly anomalous. I would like to see some more stats!
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It does, but it also means amped up super moisture charged Miller A’s. Time some cold just right and you have January 16s record NYC snows. Tweak a few variables and that’s how you go for 50”. Chances are warmth will win before we ever see that however.
