jayyy

UB is in Carroll county, but I work in Columbia. Staying down in HoCo tonight to shorten the drive for tomorrow as well.

Really hoping our market makes the decision to close our stores early. I’m working 12-9 today. I can likely leave safely at 5pm.. not so much 9pm

Most models have you at 4-6”. 3-4” seems like a reasonable bar

Euro & 3k NAM have the 6” line getting up to Baltimore and SE HOCO/MOCO. We’ll see what happens. A smidge worried models are overdoing how far north the heavier snows get but there’s also solid agreement among the models. Not loving where I live for this one. Will definitely be spending tomorrow into Wed AM down in HoCo in hopes of seeing the goods.

Seasonal trend: stay down at my brothers place in HoCo for storms. Seems like a good move for this one since I work in Columbia on Wed

NAM / RGEM with 6-9” for many 48 hours out. Varsity models still further south with the heaviest axis. Seems the hi res have a healthier and more expansive precip shield instead of focusing so much energy south of us

Definitely agree on the deamp trend as we get closer to storms. Also, on the “north trend” subject, I suppose it’s been more about banding setting up further north than the actual storm itself. Think many of us look at the bottom line - aka snow accumulation maps - and hope for a “north bump” but in reality, the storm can track exactly as depicted while having the banding placement slightly wrong. The 1/6 and other January storm both had this happen. Models nailed the track generally but C MD got kinda screwed because banding setup further north near the M/D line. EPS brings the coveted purples to just south of the Baltimore - Columbia latitude. Wouldn’t necessarily take a northern trend with the system itself to get those 6-7” totals up that way

4-6” for many, possibility of 7-8 south of DC. Sign me up

Isn’t that hour 96, not now?

January 6th and yesterday’s wave both went north in the final 24-36 hours. Not sure this year’s been *that* different. No block in place yet. Need a more SW to NE track than W to E but a slight bump is certainly possible as we get closer. Wouldn’t expect some massive jump, but I expect 25+ miles

With no block in place, central MD is still very much in the game for 6”. I suspect a slight bump north in the final 24-36 hours. DC folks appear to be in a great spot for this one.

Sold. Too bad it’s the NAM. Overall lines up with the euro / gfs but definitely wetter

5-7” for many if you take the gfs euro cmc combo. Not a bad place to be 3 days out

I was trying to decipher output. Was throwing me off [emoji23]

Kind of confusing up north since I assume that includes snowfall from tonight into tomorrow for New York and points N. Nice run for our parts. Not so much a north move, rather a healthier precip shield and better angle of attack to the naked eye. I’ll let someone with more knowledge break it down. euro / gfs showing a 4-8” possibility for many NAM / icon / gem showing more of a 2-5” storm

Yeah, the jack will be south of the CWA as clskinsfan said. Models are clear as day on that. The question is, does DC and possibly Baltimore get in on those totals around 6” as well if there’s enough of a north push over the coming 2-3 days

Cousins wedding = fucked Me = happy [emoji23]

Entering the euros sweet spot. I’ll get excited if it holds (generally) over the next 36 hours.

384 hour clown map maaaay belong in the long range thread haha

CMC/Euro say 3-6” type storm GFS/Ukie say 8-12” type storm (both waves) Set my expectations at a 6” max accordingly

Ukie with the metros jackpot. Should pan out

Up in NY for my cousins wedding this weekend 34F and a watch up for 4-7”. Precisely why winter weddings are madness lol

Just messin’ with ya WF!

Isn’t 43 hours less than 2 days? lol I’m lost

The changes from run 1 to run 2 on that trend is wild. Seems like the gfs has arrived at a solution between those 2 extremes. Still 5 days out though