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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Yeah, the mjo is uncharacteristically weak currently for a Niña. It’s stuck in p2/IO and the pattern is being dominated now by the PV.
  2. Looks like we will have a trough hanging close to the east coast after next weekend. Will keep the southeast ridge at bay and not allow us to really torch.
  3. Very good points. Along with masks, I wish the message would get back to washing your hands and not touching your face. I think over the last few months those 2 points have been lost in all of this
  4. I don’t have a strong opinion on the masks either way but it’s funny how bulletproof the theory is. If the cases go down it’s because of masks or if they go up it’s because no enough people are wearing them. Everywhere I go I see people with masks on. The country has the highest cases we have had all year! Are the masks really working?
  5. Leaves are completely down here now after Sunday nights wind storm. Definitely a few weeks earlier then normal for central nj
  6. It’s amazing to see the winters of 13/14 14/15 in a sea of warmth. Those two winters feel like forever ago now
  7. Weeklies are hideous today for the month of December
  8. Lol. Yep. Continue that look into January 1. Not a hint of change on them
  9. Well I can’t speak for February or March as it’s such a long ways away. My early thinking for December is mild with below a high snow. I just don’t see how we reverse this look in time. The weeklies today continue the Niña pattern into 2021
  10. Until the Pv weakens we will be stuck with negative anomalies where we don’t want them. I think any pattern flip will need to wait until after the middle of December.
  11. It will be interesting to see where the mjo goes after p2. If we enter the warm phases it will probably get torchy for December. The weeklies yesterday didn’t look nearly at bad as they did on Monday. They had more of a -nao look with a changing pacific
  12. Yeah, p2 response of the mjo. Looks blocky in the nao region as well.
  13. It’s amazing how unfavorable that period has been in recent years. When was the last decent February? 2015?
  14. Amazing how persistent this pattern has been this month
  15. Eps trending warmer after a brief cold shot for the weekend before thanksgiving. I could see another run of 60’s 70’s for the northeast
  16. Very nice outlook Tom. Hard to disagree with any of this currently.
  17. Something has definitely flipped. We haven’t had a cold stretch of weather since December 2017 in winter. We have also not had a east coast blizzard since 2016. Perhaps this is just the new normal
  18. Thank you for the kind words. It was a successful trip.
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