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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    With The wave 1 strat hit expect growing confidence of a artic outbreak towards mid month.
  2. Allsnow
    GEFS like the eps is pushing the TPV towards Hudson Bay
  3. Allsnow
    Those are operational runs at day 10. They will always be changing. Use the ensembles that far out.
  4. Allsnow
    December pattern on the cansips now. That’s a quick change
  5. Allsnow
    Pretty nice euro run overnight that offers snow chances. The pattern also looks great after the pna ridge rolls forward and we get more of a -epo/-nao pattern
  6. Allsnow
    We keep kicking the can in the Niña pattern. Let’s hope it stays in week 4-5 fantasyland
  7. Allsnow
    It’s silly to look at that extended model with any type of seriousness
  8. Allsnow
  9. Allsnow
    That’s the gfs
  10. Allsnow
  11. Allsnow
    @NEG NAO closer look at the system the euro has. If we get the northern stream to dive in then it can work. The southern energy alone won’t cut it with temps
  12. Allsnow
    That’s not the storm he is talking about. The storm for the 5th is a non event on the euro.
  13. Allsnow
    I remember March 14 was real cold/dry. We had MJO phases 5/6 (cold in March) and a lobe of the Pv sat over Maine. Lol
  14. Allsnow
    Some real nice looks on the ensemble guidance for December. Both the eps and GEFS have the ridge kissing the west coast going up into the pole
  15. Allsnow
    Absolutely. 13/14 was filled with jabs on a weak Pv we never had a SSW.
  16. Allsnow
    That system has no chance to be snow here. The 12z euro doesn’t even have a storm for the 5th now. We need to watch the energy diving into the trough between the 7-8th as that has potential with cold around
  17. Allsnow
    Yeah. Usually means a shot of artic air is coming into states. We don’t need a split to sustained winter. 13/14 was filled with jabs to the Pv
  18. Allsnow
    Looks like a bit of a reshuffle in between the 10th-12th. Something models have pick up on as the ridge retrogrades off the west coast.
  19. Allsnow
    This is the first period to watch. Virtual snow for bluewave
  20. Allsnow
    We are definitely going to get more of a Niña pattern for the second half of the month. With the eps look, I definitely could see that typical Niña snow gradient. We will have cold around with chances. I just hope we can keep the southeast ridge at bay, selfishly for my location. I would much rather be in Sne then nj for this lol.
  21. Allsnow
    Yeah, eps was more of a -epo pattern with overrunning/quick hitting stuff. The GEFS have the -epo along with -+pna which would provide a higher ceiling. Hopefully we get a compromise between the two.
  22. Allsnow
    I would watch the Sunday into Tuesday timeframe. Lots of energy diving into the trough with cold around.
  23. Allsnow
    The vortex is positioned nicely to get cold down here, unlike last year.
  24. Allsnow
  25. Allsnow
    @donsutherland1 where does November rank for the other major climate zones in the northeast? Orh,bos, and phl
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