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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Need to root for the first system to get out of the way quickly. The h5 has improved tremendously today
  2. Looks like this was ran out of @40/70 Benchmark basement
  3. Yeah, around jan 18th we start seeing change back to a better look. I know that is way out there but it would fit the script on some of stuff going on with the strat/mjo
  4. I remember saying after the 10th things will get better. It’s up in the air on how long that lasts. As of now, it looks like Niña pattern will return towards the 20th.
  5. Is that from the op run? The GEFS are +3. A lot of that is from the warm up next weekend as the pac reshuffles.
  6. We will have a shot a something the week of the 13th. The pattern looks to get more hostile/Niña like by the 20th
  7. Weeklies have the cold shot and snow potential December 13-20th. It then goes full on Niña with cold west/warm East. Around January 15th (la la la land) it has -nao, -epo, and cold moving east. Looks like a niño pattern in the middle of January
  8. It comes down to when the phasing occurs. If it’s late you can certainly get this outcome. Looking at the idv members of the eps a good amount had nothing. The general theme was big hit or nothing. Really nothing in between
  9. And the nam is way southeast....swing and a miss
  10. I do agree, it’s a great point by you, any airmass other then we had prior to this system probably would have made things more interesting.
  11. Yep, +pna was to west to East. We need to have had it more poleward. The rest of the ingredients are there, unfortunately.
  12. And next weekend, 12-13th, we probably make a run at 60 degrees as the pac reshuffles
  13. I’m not going to turn a blind eye to it! The end of the ensembles are look ugly. The vortex is moving into Ak and pac flow starts enveloping the country We still have a opportunity before that but as of now that’s where we Stand
  14. This just shows the importance of a good PNA ridge out west for snow opportunities
  15. Yeah. You’re seeing the American guidance coming back towards a more zonked solution. The euro might have been all over the place but it was the first to show such a dynamic system.
  16. Great post. I think the northern shore of LI should watch also
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