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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    The eps and geps have a big -nao after the 18th that keeps the pattern serviceable. Is that true? Probably not lol. Only positive I see is that fact that the TPV remains in Canada/Ak, it will keep cold in Canada. If that area starts to go above normal then yeah it would be close the shades time
  2. Allsnow
    We have a opportunity between the 13-20th. The eps snow mean was pretty high due that timeframe. After that is when it will get ugly
  3. Allsnow
    Still think we have a opportunity at something mid month before the pattern goes to trash
  4. Allsnow
    And we rain lol.
  5. Allsnow
  6. Allsnow
    Yep, we completely lost the -epo look from a few days ago. Canada will be cold so any ridge out west before the 20th can tap colder air then what we have now.
  7. Allsnow
    Some concerning ensemble guidance today for any potential cold air after next weekend. Guidance moving the TPV quickly into Ak
  8. Allsnow
  9. Allsnow
    Brings the 1.00+ pass you into northwest jersey now.
  10. Allsnow
    Gfs ticking west. This sub forum would be going crazy if it was 10 degrees colder lol
  11. Allsnow
    No two patterns are the same. If it was that easy then we could just set the forecast to whatever happen in that month a year ago. This h5 look is different then the one we had last December. Earlier this week none of us thought this would produce for sne, yourself included.
  12. Allsnow
    Persistent forecasting can go bad quickly. I’m happy to see the costal storms are back.
  13. Allsnow
    @bluewave looks like Hartford is going to get another early season snowstorm like last year. I know you were skeptical of that happening again
  14. Allsnow
    Yep. That’s why New England avg so much more then us. Looks like another early season storm for BDL
  15. Allsnow
  16. Allsnow
    The one behind it was our best shot but tomorrow’s storm is going to kill that chance
  17. Allsnow
    Enjoy guys! Looks like everything is coming together for a nice early season storm. This was a fun one to track
  18. Allsnow
    The single most important piece to east coast storms is a good Pna. This is probably the best the pac has looked since March 2018. Just some bad luck that we are not snowing in this pattern. The storms tracks are there
  19. Allsnow
    Closer track allows a dry slot to get into se mass
  20. Allsnow
    The eps mean and idv really like that line from Tolland-Orh-NH-Maine
  21. Allsnow
    The euro at 18z had a bit of a negative tilt to it. But yes, we need to see continuing improvements. This could all be just a one run hiccup
  22. Allsnow
    Well it’s just one run and nobody is getting hit yet. The H5 look improved let’s see if that continues
  23. Allsnow
    @wizard021 is 100%. We could possibly miss a good snowstorm to our north and south in one week
  24. Allsnow
    Lol. It’s definitely a possible outcome. Or the costal steals from the ULL and we get nothing.
  25. Allsnow
    I need your Saturday storm to move out quickly. Can you make sure to hurry it along? Lol. The airmass is so much better down here for that 2nd system
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