Jump to content

Allsnow

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    26,462

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    I hope all is well @DT_WXRISK. Great to hear from you.
  2. Allsnow
    Some really nice tweets from Simon Lee today about the vortex. The second half of December will be the key to how the rest of winter ends up. In 2019 we had some Weakening of the vortex (cold November and early December) then it went crazy at the end of the month. This was basically the nail in the coffin last winter. It’s very important not to see it gain strength at the end of December.
  3. Allsnow
    As the pac reshuffles we are probably going to warm next weekend. The eps went towards the gefs today with dumping energy into the west. It doesn’t break off a piece into the trough in the east. IMO the 11th into the 20th will be our best shot for snow. We will get a cold dump into the east because of the wave 1 hit on the strat. We will loose the Aleutian low so this will allow lower hgts into Canada.
  4. Allsnow
    Interesting battle going on in the 6-10 day. GEFS want to torch us and eps/geps reinforce the artic air
  5. Allsnow
    Nice look with higher hgts nosing down into Greenland
  6. Allsnow
    That’s a legit cold shot coming with the wave 1 strat hit. We should have shots at snow between the 10th-20th. Looks like overrunning stuff and clippers
  7. Allsnow
    We are not going to sustain a ridge out there for weeks on end. Need to make the most of our opportunities when we have it. A ridge kissing the west coast up into the artic works also. Which is what the ensembles have.
  8. Allsnow
    Initially it will dump there as the ridge rolls forward and pac reshuffles. Show those maps pass that hour lol
  9. Allsnow
  10. Allsnow
    I’m talking about the wave 1 hit on the strat. It’s throwing a punch at the SPV and getting it off the pole. This will open the artic flood gates at a piece of the TPV goes into Hudson Bay
  11. Allsnow
  12. Allsnow
  13. Allsnow
    All the ensembles now bring a piece of the TPV into Canada. This is a result of the strat hit. Looks cold mid month with no Niña pattern in sight. Look at -epo on all three of Them
  14. Allsnow
  15. Allsnow
    What a look!
  16. Allsnow
    Eps 990 south of LI. Idv have some big hits for northeast PA up into UNY
  17. Allsnow
    Watch this costal take a perfect snow track and be rain for the coast. The airmass just blows
  18. Allsnow
    Wow.
  19. Allsnow
  20. Allsnow
    It’s a shame we can’t get the first shortwave to trend weaker because the energy diving in early next week is potent. It just gets buried now in the base of the trough. Sunday has potential in the far interior to produce snow
  21. Allsnow
    It’s finally here!
  22. Allsnow
    Nice snowstorm d12 on the gfs op. Fantasy range and will probably change but shows the potential with the pattern
  23. Allsnow
    Important tweet for the second half of December. The mjo wave in the Niña phases can’t gain strength because of the standing wave in IO
  24. Allsnow
    With those conflicting signals a wave 1 displacement of the SPV off the pole IMO will lead to a artic outbreak towards mid month. This is something that happen in 13/14 as punches were thrown at the vortex. I’m not calling for a 13/14 winter just that I expect colder air to come. This is supported by the eps and GEFS.
  25. Allsnow
    So are day 10 operational models. They are always changing. So much for those Niña southeast ridge calls to start December Gef and eps continue to weaken the SPV by mid month.
×
×
  • Create New...