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Everything posted by Allsnow
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	700mb closed off at hour 90 this is going to be a big hit
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	Gfs is stronger with the confluence through hour 57
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	Yes it can, it’s the 84 hour nam !!! Cmon
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	It actually is and one of the reasons they are scraping the model next year
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	It’s silly to put any stock in the nam until it’s 24-36 hours out
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	It’s amazing how consistent the models are in bringing significant snow to nyc. Usually when you have blocking the models latch on to a idea early because it can only come so far north. Going to be a nasty cutoff in sne
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	Something for the tucked in crew to chew on
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	Bill what’s your thoughts on the gefs, ggem, eps, euro, and icon all showing a similar evolution?
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	Exactly!!!!. This is the best set up we have had since March 2018. Throw all the bad voodoo of last winter out!!!! This isn’t December 2019
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	If we didn’t have it this would be a cutter. It’s all about how far north the primary gets. The trend has been stronger with the confluence
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	Very seldom will the entire state of NJ stay all snow in a major winter storm
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	We don’t have a block for the Monday storm or a strong High to our north
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	The confluence is only going to let this get so far north. Classic track for the metro for a historic winter storm on the gfs
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