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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. frd
    Miller A Baby
  2. frd
    Katie bar the door.
  3. frd
    I recall that as well. However, it doesn't appear to last.
  4. frd
    Windy with snow flurries here. 35 degrees
  5. frd
    Someone mentioned earlier they were concerned over the frigid Arctic conditions in Alaska being a bad sign for the East Coast, your animation shows the Artic Air in Alaska doesn't last there very long and then everything shift south and east into North America.
  6. frd
    I meant from the Euro. The GFS and this morning's EPS went to that. I just didn't believe it. Honestly was hoping not to see that on this afternoon's run. I am still recovering from the weekend.
  7. frd
    Who saw that coming ?
  8. frd
    Like I said earlier, nothing this winter is easy.
  9. frd
    Without question. Warmer in the East and more cold out West, colder and over a larger area as well.
  10. frd
    Me too, time for a break. If next week changes like that, the entire evolution of the month might change.
  11. frd
    That was suppose to be a gradual process. Too fast, versus earlier evolutions.
  12. frd
    @psuhoffman Cold air gone for next week, big change. Well, at least according to the GFS.
  13. frd
    I am not an expert on using GFS 100HPA eddy heat flux but when I do look at the animation moving forward there seems to have made a rather big change . I don't see the trough digging on the East coast any longer. Everything seems to be West to East . basically flatter until at least the 17 th of Feb.
  14. frd
    Did you see there were some "subtle " positive changes.
  15. frd
    Cool animation, focus on the 12 th As others have mentioned, will need for the block to turn and retro before we really have a true threat to track.
  16. frd
    Too bad the ICON is trash .
  17. frd
    Here we have the GFS animation frames
  18. frd
    Here we have the updated 35 day 10 hPa 60 N GEFS, notice after this brief reversal, we approach and even exceed the ERA5 mean moving forward near the middle of the month. Looking at the PV on animation moving forward it seems to get itself better organized late in the period. Not sure if this is this is correct because the GOES-5 does not go past 240 hours with the animation, while the GFS goes to 384 hours.
  19. frd
    Very interesting. As others have mentioned we may indeed see a repeating / recycling of the - NAO in Feb and possibly into March as well. Of course 09-10 had a Nino versus this year's Nina. So far that may be the reason for less snowfall in our region versus locations much further NE. Here in the Mid Atlantic do great with a STJ/ overrunning from Ninos into 1040 High placed to our North. You know the deal. Tougher in a Nina. more play with the Northern jet/ spacing issues, etc.
  20. frd
    I knew someone would mention that. I wouldn't worry based on other modeling at this point.
  21. frd
    Crazy difference here . Remember the goofy control, which I personally hate, showing feet of snow. We need to get through the initial cold and other issues first. I am still bitter about the bust from this last storm. I will not be suckered in by means, ensembles, CIPS, etc. , unless the snow is uncomplicated.
  22. frd
  23. frd
    Just a bit of a change
  24. frd
    A bit outdated but still worth viewing Coldest map release in over a decade !!!!!!
  25. frd
    Check this out - 4 Wow !!
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