frd

Active weather week continues past this system. More thunderstorm potential end of the week as two cold fronts cross the area. Too early for severe potential, but the never ending passage of fronts and systems continue. Here is a summary from Mount Holly AFD. For Friday, there is a signal there for a cold front to move through later in the day which could lead to more of a focal point for showers and any thunderstorm potential. Another cold front arrives later Saturday, which could have a similar scenario as Friday by leading to a more focused area of showers and thunderstorms. There is the potential for a severe weather risk with the cold fronts on Friday and Saturday but there is still uncertainty given this being in the long term part of the forecast period. By Sunday, there is still a slight chance for some showers to end the weekend and by Monday we trend drier overall with a shower possible in the afternoon.

First wave of steady rain moving up from lower Delaware. Rather humid outside this morning seems warmer than the air temperature.

Some folks are calling for a very warm to hot end of May, yet modeling continues to push back any significant heat.

No significant signs of the 90 degree mark arriving any time soon to our area. Early indications show Memorial Day weekend almost averge temps.

Hopefully, not two busted forecasts in a row.

High pressure to the North on many models this Summer into the Fall can help guide hurricanes to landfall in the SE this summer/fall on a higher probability scale.

Summer rainfall above average possibly.

Looks like the WPC 7 day rather closely. Areas West of the Bay are the winners. Recently it seems the jackpot rainfall areas are moved around with every system.

Got lucky here the last two hours with .23 inches of rain. Nice and steady rainfall, good for the garden and flowers. Next real chance of rain not until next Tuesday night.

Mount Holly's rainfall forecasts have been very dissappointing during the last several systems in this area. Systems pull NE, or phase down when nearing the area, and its not just the local area, seems like a large portion of Delaware. We all know the drought issues in the far Western areas. soil moisture levels not that great here presently. WPC has lowered next week's rainfall totals in our area. Interesting, the EPS has above normal rainfall anomalies in the Mod Atlantic leading into the Memorial Day weekend.

Some sort of system off of the Southeast coast early next week. Have to see how far north it comes.

Per X New ECMWF guidance shows near or slightly above average sea temperatures in the main development region for hurricanes this coming season. Well above average temperatures are forecast in the Gulf and western Atlantic, which can enhance activity close to land.

That coincides with a push of tropical air and higher dew points.

Mount Holly seems bullish on rainfall here Thursday late day and night. ( .25 to .50 inches 0 We shall see. Good luck out there.

This is looking to verifiy as the AO is dropping. Saturday looks amazing !!! A high of 71, low dew points with continued nice weather into early next week. Signs are indicating a more humid air mass moving into the Mid-Atlantic region by mid May.

Thursday night looks decent. .25 to .50 inches of rain possible.

No signs of 90 degree temps on the horizin. Actually, nice cooler weather coming at the end of this week for a couple of days. Temperatures will be much below normal Friday when highs will only top out in the low/mid 60s for most spots. These temps will be around 10 degrees below normal for early May. Lows Fri night will favor the low 40s up north and mid 40s elsewhere. Temperatures will moderate back to normal Saturday and then rise above normal for Sunday.

some storms nearing you from the SE

.30 inches of rain here from that one cell this morning. Amazing cut off to the East and the SE. Odessa bascially zip. Radar looks good for continous rainfall in this area and the Eastern Shore soon. After this cycle of rain is over by this Wednesday it looks to get dry again. Very happy for the Western areas yesterday. Those were some amazing storms.

Storms on upper Eastern shore moving this way. Meanwhile, the Philly Broad Street run starts soon.

Lower Delaware and Southern, NJ with South winds above 20 mph. meanwhile my area and nearby locations with firm SW winds. Interesting.

Short range models are not that enthused for tonight around here from local sources, yet I see storms firing NE of me near Wilmington and Woodbury, NJ. The Delaware rain forcefield is in full effect below the C&D Canal.

NWS just issue a watch here. Very dark clouds to my North. Have to keep a close eye on the radar next several hours.

Very impressive cell. Have not seen 80dbz color signature in a while.

Euro not good at times. I have not looked at the latest run. Meanwhil,e the WPC has trimmed back rainfall totals even more in its latest update, especially the Tidewater region. when you look at your local forecast and see odds of rain at 70 % equaling a tenth of an inch, pretty sad.