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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. frd
    Snow map are correct 2 % of the time below 45 degree North
  2. frd
    No, and the cycle that year was for the MJO to hyper speed into the warmer phase.
  3. frd
    As I mentioned seems everything, cause and effect wise, has shifted North in the last several years. Mostly effecting the mid lattitudes..
  4. frd
    I read that the Atlantic SST profile has rapidly warmed the last three years.
  5. frd
    Maybe typical responses are just further North now due to climate warming? Strong West NAO blocks ? Davis Straits only benefit upper NY state and Maine?
  6. frd
    Why are the blocks not delivering? It is the Nina base state? AMO or North Atlantic warm pool ?
  7. frd
    Persistence wins. One last chance near the 15 th to the 20 th. Incredible inland and far NW snowstorms the last three years. We need something to re-set the pattern.
  8. frd
    OMG !!!!
  9. frd
    A chapter from the PSU 101 " How not to get snow when the pattern looked promising" Cliff notes available on Amazon.
  10. frd
    flatter ridge , then pop , ying yang
  11. frd
    Fits the persistance of low pressure tracks for the past several years. Inland to our NW.
  12. frd
    When is the MECS ?
  13. frd
    You have had a hot hand @Heisy Looks like may need to wait for my area until after the 14 th, or maybe 2024. The constant inland tracks persist. Nothing new here.
  14. frd
    @psuhoffman when in your opinion does the threat window end ? I was thinking the 20 th, what our your thoughts ? By the way, I am glad you are excited. I hope I can excited too at my lattitude in the lower lands.
  15. frd
    From Don Sutherland : Posted 1 hour ago The latest ECMWF weekly forecast for March 13-20 maintained the longstanding cold idea. That might offer the Mid-Atlantic region its best opportunity for at least some snowfall.
  16. frd
    The NYC forum
  17. frd
    Lets hope not, but hope it plays in our favor.
  18. frd
    Nino cometh
  19. frd
    The threat window
  20. frd
    Some posters up North are fearful of surpression despite the modeling and recent history of far NW tracks.
  21. frd
    I really hope we can break the 3-year consistency of inland coastal lows, or coastal huggers. Going to take a few more days to get clarity on this I imagine.
  22. frd
    Maybe for once the Eastern areas might be favored. Thanks for all your updates.
  23. frd
    Day After Tomorrow
  24. frd
    WOOF ! MECS
  25. frd
    Forecasts of Mountain torque and angular momentum off the charts per HM.
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