frd

Insane explosion of convection in SE Delaware during the last 60 minutes. Very impressive, cloud tops going bonkers! https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19&sector=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24

Same areas in SE Delaware that got slammed yesterday are getitng slammed again today. Northern DE. also with storms. Flash Flood warning and severe storm warning posted in each area. Of course I missed them again for the third day in a row.

Mount Holly with PWAT values up to 2-2.5 inches for Tuesday, plus, frontogenetic forcing as well, mentioned below could enhance rainfall. One other key impact point for Tuesday is a flash flooding threat. All of the area is in a Marginal (1/4) with Delmarva and portions of southern New Jersey and southeastern Pennsylvania in a Slight (2/4) risk in the Excessive Rainfall Outlook with the concern for localized flash flooding. PWAT values will rise to 2-2.5 inches with warm cloud depth of 10-12 kft, so the signal is there for the convection to be sufficient rainfall producers. The good news is that the convection will be moving but any training of showers or thunderstorms could lead to increased concern for localized flash flooding. There is also a signal for some frontogenetic forcing with the cold front which could also enhance the precipitation rates with the convection.

No rain here, but we have severe storm moving South at 5 mph near Dunalk, MD . * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Baltimore City in northern Maryland... Northeastern Anne Arundel County in central Maryland... Southeastern Baltimore County in northern Maryland... * Until 600 PM EDT. * At 531 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Dundalk, or over Sparrows Point, moving south at 5 mph.

Meanwhile tracking a cell that is moving East to West towards my location currently, will be a nail bitter.

Interesting boundry across the lower Delaware Bay on radar, and several cells forming across NE Maryland in a West to East fashion and moving East

Hmm 23.5 C = 74.5 F, nice ! Please no jellies and no sea lice either.

Mount Holly has increased the probabilities of rain from 50 % to likely at 70% here on Monday. The event on Monday plus Tuesday's storms has produced the days 1 to 3 rainfall, which has increased from the WPC. We should hopefully score some rain, with possible severe on Tuesday, as you mentioned, then several summer days around 86 to 88.

What are your thoughts about Monday afternoon, regarding storms pushing East and through I-95 ? Accu-weather is talking about Monday as robust storm chances, geater than 50 % then and then the the focus shifts to Tuesday for the severe parameters and likely higher end potential.

Last few months have had its share of unusual temps, rainfall and winds. Today almost chilly in the early morning when dog walking, then upon leaving the movies the winds really picked up. Saw the ocean surf temp temp going up today, I imagine from the Eastery winds.

BUST O RAMA Look at the intense cell in Northern De. , we get warned and then it goes Poof the magic dragon....... Can't believe this happens so often.

I think that boundary moved over here as well from east to west but not 100% sure because the temperature only has gone down about 3 or 4°. There were a couple of cells just north of me but they have dissipated. Hopefully that line to the far Northwest that is moving Southeast will hold together..

Southeast Delaware being pulverized with waterfalls and vast quantities of rainfall. That cell has been there for quite some time. Literally not moving

More normal temps next week.

From X Baltimore's Inner Harbor was the hottest location in the Northeast on Tuesday, reaching a gaudy 105.1 degrees. It hasn't dipped below 87 degrees the last two nights — a June record. That's the same as Dubai in the Persian Gulf. Baltimore is currently the Dubai of the Northeast.

We went down on I believe it was last Friday, the offshore winds hardly lasted as long as the surf models said they would, and then everything was messy. Hoping for a better day next week. Wednesday at this point seems the best option right after the frontal passage, but this time of year offshore winds don't last long.

5 degrees cooler here at time this versus yesterday. 87 here, 89 in DC., but a much lower 70 in NYC.

Many beach surf zone locations reporting temps of 70 F or higher. Seems about right for this time of year, as it is almost July. Next Wednesday looks like the next best day for more groomed waves and a period of off shore winds with as high tide during the mid afternoon hours. Went surfing last week, but it was not so great, winds shifted around and too many conflicting incoming swell directions, that may not be an issue next week.

100 here today, an inferno.

Would be very welcomed indeed. Looking beyond the coming weekend Mount Holly AFD mentions this - A more active weather pattern may begin to take shape Monday and beyond, with indications of a slightly more amplified upper- air pattern taking shape.

Passed the forecasted high temp of 97 degrees, currently 98 with a heat index of 109. Be careful with your pets as they are very sensitive to heat stroke if left outside too long, especialy certain breeds, such as Greyhounds. The issue here is the dew point and not being able to cool off effectively.

They made it here, as it is very nice outside presently with a breeze and a passing shower, mostly cloudy skies. Tomorrow back to reality, in a bad way.

Raining here currently, breezy with temp drop to 80. Avoided one day of the heat.

84 presently, as cloud cover has put somewhat of a lid on temps, watching several cells to my far NW gradually moving SE Southern NJ and Delaware beach goers must be saying, where is the sun. Also, interesting are several boundaries being pushed out by various storms in Southern and eastern PA, all interacting with each other. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19&sector=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24

Storms forming North of Reading, PA. at this time. Would keep on eye on this for areas in the extreme NE part of the forum.