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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Great thread from Tomer if you’re interested in the PA-NJ death band
  2. I think it fell ass backwards into being right here but totally missed the plot on the storm more broadly
  3. 6z gfs does some weird phasing capture thing which technically gives some of us blue
  4. Measured 3” exactly on the snowboard. Based on the radar loop, that’s not bad. Unfortunately this event gave us a half rug pull at the final hour.
  5. 38/21 talk to you weenies when the thundersnow wakes me up
  6. Remember when @high risk, the guy who helps program them, told us that the hrrr and rap suck?
  7. Difference for MBY between 3k NAM and gfs is like 0.05” of precip?
  8. Think 4-5” is the most probably range for me. Maybe 3.5-5.5” for a wider distribution.
  9. Looking forward to snow on snow after the 6-8” I got Tuesday per the Hrrr/rap combo forecast
  10. I almost can’t believe we’re going to pull off another 11th hour max potential
  11. The juicing has begun. Love to see the 0.5”+ QPF numbers show up and expand, particularly when they’re over my house
  12. If the soundings look like the 3k NAM at 6-7z around DC, then I think 12:1 during that period is reasonable.
  13. 3k NAM soundings are more impressive vs 12z. Definitely would be big ol’ dendrites for a couple hours from 6-8z.
  14. 3k NAM soundings show strong lift in a saturated DGZ around 7z.
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