It has support. 0z GFS-Graphcast had the cutoff solution, euro-Ai, eps, icon, and 12z geps took a step toward it. Gfs has a cutoff also, just a different evolution and focused rain to our north.
0z euro suite continues that. Almost a drought buster next week. GGEM and GFS both show the blocky pattern producing some slow moving systems, but different than euro suite.
Only had 3 rumbles of thunder, but briefly very heavy rain and a good gust front on the leading edge. Over 0.5” for the weekend! Need about 10-14” before June 21 to be prepped for death heat.
12z mesos have showers late morning/early afternoon tomorrow a bit more widespread? Plus the late evening activity today. Hoping for that SE HoCo bullseye shown on 12z hrrr and 3k NAM…