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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Tomer doesn’t weeniecast. That’s impressive.
  2. Harford and Cecil probably deserved warnings…
  3. High of 41 and just starting to tick back down
  4. I’m going to be insufferable if I’m furloughed and we get a Nina torch February
  5. Is it even a snow event if you don’t get NAM’d 12 hours before start?
  6. Here's the 3k NAM sounding right as precip is about to start in DC. Above freezing part of the column is *extremely* shallow. Like 975mb or lower? And even that part of the column has a wet bulb of 32-33. At worst, that's probably like a few minutes of sprinkles and as soon as there are any rates at all, it's snow.
  7. Let's goooo clouds. Keep the temps as low as possible.
  8. 3" seems like a decent floor right now based guidance. Was thinking more 2-2.5" yesterday. 4" might be a stretch, but possible.
  9. Nice sounding in the band as it starts cranking around 1am in @mappyland
  10. Some personal MBY stats. Biggest December snowfall since 2009 is 3.3", which happened in both 2017 and 2020. Think I got a puncher's chance to top that.
  11. I’m surprised Mt Holly hasn’t upgraded to warnings. They have 4-6” for a lot of their area.
  12. LWX probably weighing watches or warnings for Cecil and Harford?
  13. Normally I would think one meso model is overdoing things. But all of them?? Hmmm
  14. See late in the euro as an example. Assume we get nothing else for at least 10-14 days after Sunday, but stranger things have happened.
  15. I think it’s clear now that a warmup is coming and probably average AN from the 17-18th through the Xmas week. But with abundant cold air in Canada, I think it won’t be wall to wall AN days (like we’ve had BN days the last 2 weeks), and not impossible to slip in a winter precipitation event with good timing luck.
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