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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Someone is going to get the goods this weekend, but with such a narrow stripe, there’s no consolation prize.
  2. WxUSAF
    Love the euro for MBY
  3. WxUSAF
    Wilkommen to the SchneeFest, Icon
  4. WxUSAF
    Think i saw 3 flakes at work in Greenbelt. (Insert Obligatory Greenbelt joke)
  5. WxUSAF
    If NYC is stoked about the 12k NAM, we’re in a good spot
  6. WxUSAF
    F-ing Virginians are legit going to have double digit seasonal totals by Saturday
  7. WxUSAF
    @Bob Chill just got NAM’d
  8. WxUSAF
    Seems safe now that above normal temps are coming starting late next week and into Xmas week. But with lots of cold air in Canada, we certainly could have a cold couple days behind any cold fronts.
  9. WxUSAF
    This is the white Christmas so enjoy it weenies. I’m going to put some music on, bake cookies, wrap presents, put a fire in the fireplace, watch my favorite football team piss down their legs again, and we’ll have the hap hap happiest Christmas since bing crosby tap danced with Danny fucking Kaye.
  10. WxUSAF
    I’d vote for a thread for Sunday
  11. WxUSAF
    I’m modestly confused why WBAL in Baltimore has a temp range of 29-32 on Sunday. That’s the high and low. 0z euro has mid-upper 10s by 0z Monday.
  12. WxUSAF
    So 18z euro is drier, warmer, about the same, or best yet?
  13. WxUSAF
    Happy hour smashes a bottle over Maryland’s head
  14. WxUSAF
    Whoa!
  15. WxUSAF
    Going to assume 20-30:1 ratios based on my last snowfall
  16. WxUSAF
    Not sure if it’s the coastal per se or just good dynamics (jet entrance region and frontogenesis). They’re all linked of course. Maybe. Seems like Sunday is the stronger wave. @SnowenOutTherehas the hot hand. I did the December 2nd rain thread
  17. WxUSAF
    Nice consensus at 12z. Now just needs to hold for 90 hours.
  18. WxUSAF
    Euro AI is consistent with the idea of coastal development on Sunday. Definitely the solution PHL-BOS is rooting for. Don’t know how much snow for our area. Probably 1-3”ish?
  19. WxUSAF
    0z and 6z euro looked a lot like gfs and ukie?
  20. WxUSAF
    Nice right entrance region of the jet max over us also around 6-12z on the gfs.
  21. WxUSAF
    Something like that is showing up in the euro too. Tiny coastal enhancement? Need a 20-30mi north shift though.
  22. WxUSAF
    Yeah, I think that was the coldest Xmas of the 20 year period and it was the worst snowfall year ever for MBY.
  23. WxUSAF
    Gonna ignore the white dot over my house
  24. WxUSAF
    Uh, well it Fs us both pretty badly, but other people cash in
  25. WxUSAF
    With potentially another Xmas torch staring us in the face, I decided to make a plot to see if it’s been as real as it feels or has been for years. So this plot is BWI above normal and much above normal (>=10F) occurrences from 2005-2024. Thicker lines are the year by year counts for each calendar day and thin lines are smoothed by 7 days. Short answer is yes…and the week after Xmas before new years has been the most torch prone.
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