WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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Another good thread from @griteater. 2017 was the last year we had even respectable December snowfall.
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I think we’re in the stage where the temp is still 38 and we’re supposed to be at freezing by now
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CME is hitting but its magnetic field is positive for now. We want strongly negative for the best show.
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41 today
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Not loving these persistent clouds
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12z mesos look dicey on central Md cloud cover. Better for NoVA and southern MD.
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Not sure international returns? Think you have to take that absurd contraption back to the cattle call customs line.
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Non-political post here…I have never agreed more with “Trump officials”
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Norfolk reported 0.2” of snow officially yesterday??
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Stronger CME should hit today sometime. So have to see how timing works out with darkness and cloud cover.
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Not as bright as before for me but clouds have cleared a bit and showing up faintly in my phone
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Clouds now but I think that previous substorm is over for the moment.
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Clouds moved in
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Maybe in the faint edge of naked eye
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Maybe something here besides normal suburban sky glow?
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39/50 is impressive.
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Middle school formalwear
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Straight baller
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Pretty uniform temp distribution west of the Bay. Shows that this cold was advection-driven with the wind, rather than a more typical radiation-driven morning low.
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29 as the low so far. Was hoping for colder.
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I certainly hope we get some period of productivity in January. A lot of the Ninas during the last ~10 years have had good January periods. I’m not enthusiastic on snowfall if our best patterns are early December and March.
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Yes
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Interesting that you have a sorta different subseasonal cycle than a lot of the other forecasts. But still end up in the typical Nina dud for snowfall (which I tend to agree).
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The stratosphere is much more predictable than the troposphere, so the long range ensembles do have “skill” beyond the typical 8-10 day sensible weather prediction limit. I want to say there is skill to 30-40 days?? It seems guidance often tries to predict these strat warming events a little too quickly and there are can kicks, but that’s my anecdotal observation.
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6z gfs right where we want it??
