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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    It may be that the UKIE is going to get to the same solution, but much more slowly.
  2. John1122
    No, for this system. The cold dumps west and a SE ridge crops up in response. By Tuesday morning there's a 30/40 degree temperature difference over the Eastern half of Tennessee on the UKIE vs the GFS.
  3. John1122
    The UKIE is full western trough/se ridge and we stay warm dry over most of the state. It and the Euro often have similar outcomes as they likely have some common dna. We will see if the Euro is more like it soon.
  4. John1122
    The old extended NAM would have some 30+ inch lolipops for us. DGEXerizating it was called.
  5. John1122
    The ICON, which was the first to show the solution the Euro had last night, is now a big hitter today at 12z except for the far southern valley of East Tennessee. It actually has temp issues there.
  6. John1122
    Very windy and heavy snow shower moving through right now.
  7. John1122
    Weird turn on the Euro as it just keeps light snow over the area for 12 hours longer than the other models and we get a couple inches that way in the eastern half of the area. Nashville and west still do okay there.
  8. John1122
    Oh well, we will see if the Euro is leading or lost here. 50/50 which way it will go.
  9. John1122
    Euro pops a low in the gulf but shears everything out over us.
  10. John1122
    Weakening as it heads east.
  11. John1122
    Don't know how far East it'll go but the Euro is gonna lay the smack down on Western areas.
  12. John1122
    I think models tend to over exaggerate both upslope and downslope as a rule, especially hi-res models.
  13. John1122
    Another moderate round moving over. Nickel to quarter sized flakes.
  14. John1122
    This is the snow shower I was under earlier. This is right off 141. https://fb.watch/ptRZHyWvXX/?mibextid=2JQ9oc
  15. John1122
    Oh Canada!!
  16. John1122
    24-hour ratio map. I don't believe the barren spot down toward the southern valley. But great map otherwise and up for every from 12 and 18z.
  17. John1122
    A little more meat on the buffet on the 00z so far.
  18. John1122
    Moderate to heavy snow with this shower.
  19. John1122
    Falling weather of some kind is on my doorstep. Hopefully it's snow.
  20. John1122
    This is the total from just the Sunday/Monday event.
  21. John1122
    This is just from the Sun/Monday system. Edit nvm. Posted wrong image
  22. John1122
    Models are keying on a northern stream system following on the 19th-20th time frame that would probably bring another 1-2 inches of snow to north of 40 from Nashville eastward.
  23. John1122
    For this system, looking at the 12z Sunday run, the Euro is by far the biggest miss for this area. The NAM and RGEM were best, with the Canadian/UKIE/GFS all doing better than the Euro with a heavy precip axis up into East Tennessee.
  24. John1122
    It was a little weaker at the surface and cut QPF more than in half from the 00z run.
  25. John1122
    48 hours ago the Euro gave me .93 inches from this storm through 7pm this evening. It's raining right now and I'm at 3 inches from it.
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