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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    The Euro was a classic track and would be a nice snowstorm for Tennessee imo. Lows that move from Mobile, Alabama to interior South Carolina are money here as long as we have cold. Ever since I've done model watching, they all underestimate QPF from gulf lows. Both in amounts and northern extent. I still can't for the life of me see why I switch to sleet with the low moving over South Georgia and 700mb, 850, 925 and surface temps well into the 20s either.
  2. John1122
    Saturday or Sunday. Seriously, I had the Euro giving me 30 inches 2 days out a couple years ago and ended up with 2 inches. Right now I'd feel fairly confident we're going to get really cold. Models don't often miss that. Any snow amounts between a dusting to 10 inches are on the table across most of the area. I say dusting because this arctic blasts usually squeeze out at least that.
  3. John1122
    The euro went truly bizarre and changed me from snow to sleet on the back side of the low with temps in the 20s from 700mb to the surface. Don't really see that happening.
  4. John1122
    The Canadian entered the chat.
  5. John1122
    Yep, huge run forum wide. Low end near the GA border around 3 inches. 6-10+ wide spread. It's -8 imby by 1am Wednesday morning, behind the storm.
  6. John1122
    Still snowing from Nashville to the spine of the Apps and to the TN Ga border at 180.
  7. John1122
    Warm nose is gone and the east is getting pounded by 174.
  8. John1122
    Unless it just sharply cuts, looking like a Miller A/slider.
  9. John1122
    Looks like it's starting as rain around Chattanooga but snow everywhere else in the forum area. Memphis is getting pounded.
  10. John1122
    Snow line is further south through 162. Instead of 50s in the east, it's 30s.
  11. John1122
    Euro is coming in colder than it's warm nosed 12z run.
  12. John1122
    The ICON isn't as far south as the GFS but the northern 3/4ths of Tennessee looks to be getting snow on it.
  13. John1122
    It arrives the evening of the 15th for the western areas and continues into the evening of the 16th for eastern areas.
  14. John1122
    I've never seen the Canadian so reluctant to gin up a winter storm when the other models are showing it so consistently. It's normally all about some wild snow and cold events.
  15. John1122
    That's a "what dreams are made of" kind of snow event. It is frigid, happens during the day, and it snows for 12+ hours for many of us.
  16. John1122
    That's how you get a major, forum wide, winter storm. It's snowing in the 10s and low 20s for some of us as it finishes up.
  17. John1122
    I was at basketball games this evening. No wind when I left the gym but it's ripping here at home.
  18. John1122
    This is now legend.
  19. John1122
    The Euro also sped that storm up a lot. It's big storm from 00z actually really got rolling over the area on the 16th. It was a full day earlier today.
  20. John1122
    No kidding My high on the 16th is 4 on the Euro.
  21. John1122
    I will say that the trend for storms, as has been noted, is SE not NW so far this year. So hopefully the SE/Atl ridge that causes that Apps runner is actually weaker or further east.
  22. John1122
    Snowing on the Gulf Coast beaches and raining in the Apps of East Tennessee is normal.
  23. John1122
    Apps runner this go. Plateau and West cashes in. That's as far east as it gets with frozen.
  24. John1122
    Warm nose from hades. 51 in Knoxville and 30 in Cookeville.
  25. John1122
    Low is up into Central Alabama, if it runs the Apps Mid and West Tennessee will get smoked and Eastern areas are gonna rain.
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