Jump to content

John1122

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,740

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    Very windy and heavy snow shower moving through right now.
  2. John1122
    Weird turn on the Euro as it just keeps light snow over the area for 12 hours longer than the other models and we get a couple inches that way in the eastern half of the area. Nashville and west still do okay there.
  3. John1122
    Oh well, we will see if the Euro is leading or lost here. 50/50 which way it will go.
  4. John1122
    Euro pops a low in the gulf but shears everything out over us.
  5. John1122
    Weakening as it heads east.
  6. John1122
    Don't know how far East it'll go but the Euro is gonna lay the smack down on Western areas.
  7. John1122
    I think models tend to over exaggerate both upslope and downslope as a rule, especially hi-res models.
  8. John1122
    Another moderate round moving over. Nickel to quarter sized flakes.
  9. John1122
    This is the snow shower I was under earlier. This is right off 141. https://fb.watch/ptRZHyWvXX/?mibextid=2JQ9oc
  10. John1122
    Oh Canada!!
  11. John1122
    24-hour ratio map. I don't believe the barren spot down toward the southern valley. But great map otherwise and up for every from 12 and 18z.
  12. John1122
    A little more meat on the buffet on the 00z so far.
  13. John1122
    Moderate to heavy snow with this shower.
  14. John1122
    Falling weather of some kind is on my doorstep. Hopefully it's snow.
  15. John1122
    This is the total from just the Sunday/Monday event.
  16. John1122
    This is just from the Sun/Monday system. Edit nvm. Posted wrong image
  17. John1122
    Models are keying on a northern stream system following on the 19th-20th time frame that would probably bring another 1-2 inches of snow to north of 40 from Nashville eastward.
  18. John1122
    For this system, looking at the 12z Sunday run, the Euro is by far the biggest miss for this area. The NAM and RGEM were best, with the Canadian/UKIE/GFS all doing better than the Euro with a heavy precip axis up into East Tennessee.
  19. John1122
    It was a little weaker at the surface and cut QPF more than in half from the 00z run.
  20. John1122
    48 hours ago the Euro gave me .93 inches from this storm through 7pm this evening. It's raining right now and I'm at 3 inches from it.
  21. John1122
    The Euro was a classic track and would be a nice snowstorm for Tennessee imo. Lows that move from Mobile, Alabama to interior South Carolina are money here as long as we have cold. Ever since I've done model watching, they all underestimate QPF from gulf lows. Both in amounts and northern extent. I still can't for the life of me see why I switch to sleet with the low moving over South Georgia and 700mb, 850, 925 and surface temps well into the 20s either.
  22. John1122
    Saturday or Sunday. Seriously, I had the Euro giving me 30 inches 2 days out a couple years ago and ended up with 2 inches. Right now I'd feel fairly confident we're going to get really cold. Models don't often miss that. Any snow amounts between a dusting to 10 inches are on the table across most of the area. I say dusting because this arctic blasts usually squeeze out at least that.
  23. John1122
    The euro went truly bizarre and changed me from snow to sleet on the back side of the low with temps in the 20s from 700mb to the surface. Don't really see that happening.
  24. John1122
    The Canadian entered the chat.
  25. John1122
    Yep, huge run forum wide. Low end near the GA border around 3 inches. 6-10+ wide spread. It's -8 imby by 1am Wednesday morning, behind the storm.
×
×
  • Create New...