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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    At least when it gets close, the excitement/disappointment arrives fast on the model runs.
  2. John1122
    It and the Euro are usually in a pretty close camp, I'm surprised it's so far on the other end of the spectrum.
  3. John1122
    UK continues on the NW side of guidance and blanks areas east of the Plateau that run for the most part. Has precip but it's likely rain as temps are above freezing in the Eastern Vallley.
  4. John1122
    The GFS only has 2 of 20 members that don't have at least 2 inches imby. The mean has over 3 inches for almost the entire forum area and over 1.5 inches for basically everyone in the region including Northern Alabama.
  5. John1122
    For now, I'm more worried about the dreaded southeast slip. I may change over to NW panic at any run though.
  6. John1122
    That is the best run for a snow lover in Knoxville Tennessee, that I've ever seen on any model. Two events and 23 inch lollipops showing up in Knoxville over the 8 day or so period.
  7. John1122
    Round 2 on the Canadian. It's still snowing in the East at this point but it couldn't all be captured in a 24hr panel.
  8. John1122
    The Canadian for future look backs at how it was soooo right or the crazy uncle again.
  9. John1122
    The Canadian entering the 12z bonanza before the Euro comes in and puts a turd in the punch bowl.
  10. John1122
    It happens at times. Not to that extreme but this isn't about temperatures, simply about the direction of the moisture fetch. In Feb 1996 Knoxville got 12-18 inches and LeConte got 4-6.
  11. John1122
    The GFS is a looooooong duration event with several waves of snow. MRX noted this a few days ago.
  12. John1122
    GFS looks a lot like the NAM. Not particularly surprising.
  13. John1122
    GFS looks similar to the NAM so far, which isn't particularly surprising.
  14. John1122
    I honestly just looked and the 6z GFS shifted towards the Canadian on the next Friday event. This could be an historic week of winter weather around these parts.
  15. John1122
    I'm hoping it's a March '22 event instead of one of the many rug pullers. I still refuse to get my hopes up too high.
  16. John1122
    The ICON has a LP track over Eastern NC, that would probably have even more precip than it depicts over Eastern areas.
  17. John1122
    ICON with heavier returns covering most of East Tennessee at the 84hr mark.
  18. John1122
    Looking at the direction and movement of the precip, I'd have guess Tri would have been under moderate/heavy returns for the next 6-12 hours due to the heavy slug of moisture aimed from Northern Alabama, through Knoxville and aimed at Tri, it the RGEM went to 96.
  19. John1122
    It's still going almost state wide still at that point. It's still going in Northern Louisiana and Southern Arkansas and it's aimed all the way to SW VA. Looks like sleet for Northern Alabama and Georgia at the end with heavy precip aimed at Chattanooa around the transition zone.
  20. John1122
    For posterity. Still ripping over the region at this time.
  21. John1122
    @AMZ8990 Should be singing "Oh Canada!" at this point and I'll join him. We may need to change getting "nam'd" to getting "rgem'd".
  22. John1122
    Memphis area is getting smoked this run of the RGEM.
  23. John1122
    The RGEM appears to be amped like the GGEM.
  24. John1122
    The NAM is forming a low in the Western Gulf at the end of it's run, it appears. That would be the potential second wave of precip Tuesday.
  25. John1122
    I honestly expected even more from the NAM by looking at it's precip panels.
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