Jump to content

John1122

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,740

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    That was a blockbuster on the RGEM.
  2. John1122
    MRX has added the wording "moderate snow accumulation possible" to my forecast for next Thursday night already. That's normally their vernacular for 2-4 inches.
  3. John1122
    My forecast says 1 inch Sunday night, 2-4 Monday, and "Moderate Snow Accumulations Possible" Monday night. That usually means 2-4 inches as well.
  4. John1122
    I take that back. The NAM was colder over Knox Co and didn't have the p-type issues so instead of 3.5 inches Knox was covered by 7+ inches on the 12k. The 3k still has the p-type issues along and S of 40.
  5. John1122
    NAM pretty much stayed the same as 00z, 3k looks like it will too. NW edge of guidance for them. Especially the 3k.
  6. John1122
    It snows forever on there.
  7. John1122
    SREF snow depth mean change. This is pretty impressive for a mean for snow depth.
  8. John1122
    The 03z SREF is maintaining roughly the same snow foot print as earlier runs. That probably means the NAM will stay on the northern edge of guidance.
  9. John1122
    The Euro basically stayed the same. It's on the southern edge of guidance still with the NAM on the northern. Everything else is basically in the middle of both. It keeps the narrow snow footprint.
  10. John1122
    Okay. It must be in the package they email to EMS directors.
  11. John1122
    Someone shared this post. It wasn't from MRX but one of those post the GFS at D12 and say it's going to snow pages. I've looked high and low on MRX socials and the web page and cannot find it. Did anyone else see it or did that page fake it.
  12. John1122
    I think that's a frontal boundary that will reinforce cold air. That's why it's going to be colder tomorrow than today.
  13. John1122
    Brutal cold on the UKIE, seems like it used to be conservative/warm.
  14. John1122
    After looking, there's a warm nose at 925mb that puts Knox County above freezing above the surface for a bit. The ground temp is upper 20s while precip is falling. So there may be some sleet in there.
  15. John1122
    Possibly. I can't see any precip type panels. It's been wound up and warm for a while.
  16. John1122
    UKIE 10:1. Ratio'd should be better. It's came in line with other modeling.
  17. John1122
    The RAP pops a low over SW NC and sends it N as that run ends.
  18. John1122
    Latest model run, 03z RAP. Still snowing 75 corridor and East as of this frame.
  19. John1122
    The WVLT mets did have the infamous "melting into puddles will keep accumulation way down" in regards to I think the March 2022 event.
  20. John1122
    According to how far north you live, looks like you're probably good for 1 to 4+ inches. But the story isn't written yet, I don't believe. There's gonna be someone close to an edge north and south that sees snow a few miles away but doesn't get much.
  21. John1122
    It was actually still snowing over East Tennessee at the end of the run.
  22. John1122
    21z RAP
  23. John1122
    I really like the thickness of the accumulation area with this model. Isn't this going to replace a few other models eventually including HRRR? Yes. It's the new NAM too.
  24. John1122
    18z RRFS A. Has tons of BL issues in the East. The winter weather is still unfolding at this point.
  25. John1122
    It doesn't, in my experience. Elevation usually is a factor in marginal surface temp set ups. March 22 saw 10-12 inches here and elevation made no difference that I could tell. We were very cold throughout. The DGZ does get to the ground here when it's below 0. You'll see ice crystals filling the air even when the sky is clear.
×
×
  • Create New...