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John1122

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  1. John1122
    It was in an El Nino, phase 7/8 were the most likely to produce snow in NC of any phase but the c.o.d was best.
  2. John1122
    I believe Eric Webb found that southeast snow events in February were more frequent in Phase 7 of the MJO than some of the more traditionally wintery phases. That would imply that it was cold here during Phase 7 in February.
  3. John1122
    If this happens as a drizzle/ight rain scenario it's the worst way to get freezing rain for travel. If it rains hard it builds up on raised surfaces but the way roads are designed to shed water, the water starts running and it's harder to freeze. But light rain that slowly builds, that's just the worst.
  4. John1122
    Man, the HRRR spits out ice storm warning criteria ice here. Exactly what I don't need with temps near 0 returning.
  5. John1122
    The GFS from 00z 1-16-24 had me at -8 and I ended up at -8. It had Newcomb, west of me at -6 and they ended up at -7. It had Oneida at -7 and they ended up at -9. It had Tazewell at -14 and they ended up at -12. Our posters in the area also seemed to have recorded -8 to -10. Unfortunately TYS is not actually in Knoxville or Knox County, and it's a notorious heat island, I believe they didn't get quite as much snow as areas very close by to the N and NW.
  6. John1122
    The Canadian crept south with the snow. The 3 inch line crept into NE Campbell County that run. The one inch line is down across Knox and Davidson in Middle Tn. Almost looks like the snow footprint models were putting out a few days ago.
  7. John1122
    I've just blew through my predicted low. My zone forecast says 15, my point forecast says 13. It's down to 9 degrees already.
  8. John1122
    The RGEM is good with northern stream stuff. Hope that's the case here.
  9. John1122
    2014 we got below 0 cold in early January then a two week warm up and got frigid again in late January. So it was a double cold shot El Nino year.
  10. John1122
    I've made it to 22 but not sure I'll get much higher. The sun sets here pretty soon.
  11. John1122
    Our schools have closed until Monday already.
  12. John1122
    To me it looks like MJO forecasts are getting more favorable. Some still try to do the loop in 6, but others are pushing it to 7-8 faster. One of them stalls it in 7. A few days ago the Euro mean was looping it in 6, that's gone now and it pushes across 7 and 8.
  13. John1122
    I got down to -8 this morning. Close to the -10 the GFS had for me. Way colder than the 1 the NAM had. Currently at 15 and will probably get to the 26-28 range today.
  14. John1122
    I've noticed most of the models are coming in weaker/less QPF. I'll be shocked if such a powerful Arctic front comes through without at least snow showers.
  15. John1122
    Those crazy looking GFS numbers weren't that far off apparently.
  16. John1122
    Down to -3. About to go to bed, as I've slept little the past 5 days. I'd be fine if it doesn't get any colder.
  17. John1122
    Pulled this off just before midnight. So will be subzero technically for 2 days this week.
  18. John1122
    Canadian maintained the 40 and North snow.
  19. John1122
    The aforementioned GFS.
  20. John1122
    I'm already down to 8. These air masses in January, with snow cover, hit hard.
  21. John1122
    My brother in Hixson looks like he ended up with a few inches. He's not the weather enthusiast I am so he didn't actually measure. Just sent me a picture of his back deck.
  22. John1122
    He's just over the top with the "Captain Accurate" stuff. He had the heaviest snow yesterday over the areas that mix/rained. Todd Howell is about it for local TV mets that seem to be aware of meteorology and the microclimates here.
  23. John1122
    Man, he was awful with the storm we just finished. I hope he's off in a good way with this one.
  24. John1122
    It's still flurrying here. I think the DGZ is around 2000ft this afternoon.
  25. John1122
    I expect the 18z GFS to back down or the other models to keep getting more frozen precip and less rain from here on. Kentucky looks pretty good for several inches of snow as do the mountains. More ice for everyone else per models but MRX is very confident in there not being much in the way of precip type other than rain/snow.
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