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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. I hope so. I believe there's issues with getting moisture to the dgz because we shift back to drizzle when it's not coming down hard.
  2. Approaching mm134. At least it's not freezing rain any more. They can't clear the interstate so tdot can't salt.
  3. Hopefully, but it's about gone until any NW flow might happen. It was odd that 30 degrees today felt warm.
  4. Campbell County. There was just another wreck southbound. They are going to try and shut it down at the KY border it sounds like.
  5. It's bad. There probably needs to be some kind of notification that's a more severe warning than a winter weather advisory in such unique circumstances. The roads were primed for this to become a disaster area with freezing rain because of the extreme cold. A police officer also wrecked a few minutes ago trying to get to the interstate.
  6. There's now 8 wrecks at mm 132 to 133. 75 is shut down. Officers say they can barely stand up at the scene.
  7. From what I can tell there's now 5 wrecks, 4 of them semis, on 75 in cc.
  8. 75N is a doomsday scenario. 3 wrecks involving semi trucks at mm133 including one overturned. Officers at the scene said it was so slick they couldn't get to one of them.
  9. Back to sleet. Sleet when it's heavier, drizzle/freezing rain when it lightens up.
  10. Temp has fallen to 29 with precip. I assume wetbulbing is happening.
  11. I'm hoping for upslope tomorrow as the main snow producer. The 3k NAM is spitting out about 2 inches of that here with 5+ over Cross Mountain. The freezing rain/sleet part looks qpf starved with less than .10 per MRX. MRX did note the warm nose won't reach SWVa at all.
  12. His chart was for North Carolina and while we can score in different ways and often do, most of the time we're all cold at the same time and the storm track that lends itself to NC snow events most is miller A storms. It was I believe an 8 percent chance in 7/8, 5 in 1, 3 in 2 during El Nino. It would take a lot of research to do it here, if had a way to get historical MJO phases I'd try to see how we stacked up. C.O.D is king. It's a 12 percent probability in Nino years. In nino Feb 2015 we were 8 to 7 to C.O.D when big winter hit in the second half of Feb.
  13. I've made it to 27 degrees. I noticed the Crossville airport was at 33 but has fallen to 30. Dewpoints are low, in the 10s, so some wetbulbing will occur.
  14. He actually made the statement that the MJO heading for 7/8 in February was one of the reasons for hope in the long range. It appears that 2 may be the worst phase for winter storms in El Nino years.
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