John1122

The GFS just had it's best run. The other models are determined to not be generous here.

I've been at 21 ever since the snow moved back in but the HRRR does show me getting sleet late this evening. Curious to see if that actually happens. I saw it happened down the Plateau to Knoxtron.

Just crossed 5 inches. If that area of snow around Nashville can maintain as it slides East I can probably manage 2-3 more before this is over. The Knox/Anderson area will probably reach double digits somewhere if mixing stays away.

Is anyone in the band north of Nashville? It's showing a 45dbz streak on the NWS radar.

The radar looked ragged/light but it's very small flakes/pixie dust and it snowed 1.5 inches in about an hour and 30 minutes from 10ish to 11:30. We had been in an extended break before then.

We've had 3 parking lot donuts and two main road donut incidents since 8 am per the scanner.

Radar always looks more impressive for snow the closer you get to the radar site. You can see this with every event where snow is coming at decent rates over a large area. Right now you can see the bands that look very intense in a circle around Morristown, especially south and south east where the terrain isn't as ridge/mountainous. Meanwhile there's a strip of the Western Plateau were it appears nothing is happening. But suddenly returns keep appearing as if areas upstream from there are getting snow but you can't see it.

You guys have been impressively cold for this one. I think that's one of the reasons Mid-state areas over performed, amazing ratios.

Crossing 4 inches as the air is filled with pixie dust. It actually warmed up to 23 degrees earlier but dropped back to 21 now.

Under one of my best bands of the night right now. Solid quarter sized flakes and a lot of them. Definitely powdered sugar/pixie dust at 19 degrees.

I bought two 12 inch rulers the other day for snow measuring because I have a terrible time holding a measuring tape and taking a photo. They looked funny because they had a blank space before the mark start and after the 12. I measured them with the tape measure and they are 12.5 inches long and have instructions in small letters on starting at the mark instead of the end of the ruler. So here i am at 3:30 in the morning trimming my rulers to their actual measurement to measure snow. I at least don't feel so odd after some of the otner revelations tonight. I am baffled that they couldn't just trim the extra off each end of the ruler or set the machine to run them at exactly 12 inches.

The HRRR and NAM at least, has the band lifting north of 40 until 8am or so then heavier returns start working back your way. This is basically "bonus" snow with the main part of it still to come.

I'm at about 2 inches now. Been sticking for about 6 hours. So I'm averaging about .3 inches per hour. Talk about slow and steady!

There's a heck of a band through Nashville that hopefully heads your way.

Had a nice 20 minutes of high rates and then a lull. Looks like another shot of heavy returns are almost here. About 1.25-1.5 inches.

The Euro finally fattened its snow band and came north a ways. Would be pretty good for us all.

Can't get the cam to actually play but a screen shot from south of me in LaFollette.

03z RAP

There's going to be a warm up for 5-6 days, but the MJO should be headed towards the favorable phases around the 28th and there looks to be a PNA ridge inbound. It should set the stage for favorable weather in the first half of February.

I sleep about 7 hours a week when we have winter threats.

The NAM has heavy snow over all of Cumberland County at 7pm tomorrow. The RGEM has snow all the way to Nashville at 7pm. There may be a break in it for a time in some areas but the models are actually trending away from the break.

25W north of LaFollette near where I turn off. The highway was clear about 10:25 when I came in.

It's mostly going to be a slow and steady event tonight. I think I saw MRX or OHX mention 1/4th inch per hour rates overnight in one of their discos. Still, if we get 1/4th to 1/2 inch per hour for the next 8 hours, that adds up to several inches. As noted, tomorrow we get some gulf connection and rates go up.

The GFS was a nice 1-3 with some 4+ areas for the Thursday/Friday event. The air behind it may be as cold or even colder than this. The heart of winter here is January 15th to February 15th. It's the coldest and snowiest time of winter here. You can hardly beat having a favorable pattern in this window. It looks like we might have one for a good part of that window.

Getting close to an inch down now. Snowing about 1/2 inch an hour. The HRRR and 3k NAM had me getting 4 inches by 5am. I may get close.