
John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
2014 we got below 0 cold in early January then a two week warm up and got frigid again in late January. So it was a double cold shot El Nino year.- 1,263 replies
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I've made it to 22 but not sure I'll get much higher. The sun sets here pretty soon. -
Our schools have closed until Monday already.
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
To me it looks like MJO forecasts are getting more favorable. Some still try to do the loop in 6, but others are pushing it to 7-8 faster. One of them stalls it in 7. A few days ago the Euro mean was looping it in 6, that's gone now and it pushes across 7 and 8.- 1,263 replies
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I got down to -8 this morning. Close to the -10 the GFS had for me. Way colder than the 1 the NAM had. Currently at 15 and will probably get to the 26-28 range today.
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I've noticed most of the models are coming in weaker/less QPF. I'll be shocked if such a powerful Arctic front comes through without at least snow showers.
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Those crazy looking GFS numbers weren't that far off apparently. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Down to -3. About to go to bed, as I've slept little the past 5 days. I'd be fine if it doesn't get any colder. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Pulled this off just before midnight. So will be subzero technically for 2 days this week. -
Canadian maintained the 40 and North snow.
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm already down to 8. These air masses in January, with snow cover, hit hard. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
My brother in Hixson looks like he ended up with a few inches. He's not the weather enthusiast I am so he didn't actually measure. Just sent me a picture of his back deck. -
He's just over the top with the "Captain Accurate" stuff. He had the heaviest snow yesterday over the areas that mix/rained. Todd Howell is about it for local TV mets that seem to be aware of meteorology and the microclimates here.
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Man, he was awful with the storm we just finished. I hope he's off in a good way with this one.
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's still flurrying here. I think the DGZ is around 2000ft this afternoon. -
I expect the 18z GFS to back down or the other models to keep getting more frozen precip and less rain from here on. Kentucky looks pretty good for several inches of snow as do the mountains. More ice for everyone else per models but MRX is very confident in there not being much in the way of precip type other than rain/snow.
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The RGEM was a bit south that time too, especially compared to 12z.
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The ICON shifted from a mid-state cutter to an Apps low from 12z to 18z. Always heard storms tended to ride below a snow pack but maybe that's an urban legend.
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The NAMs came in more wintery than previous runs, especially the 3k. More ice than snow.
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's not correct for my area but it rarely is. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Average at a couple of different spots. There was some light snow early this morning that turned to flurries until about 20 minutes ago. Blue skies are about to get underway now. -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'd love to see that continue into 7. Yesterday it was curling back into 6 on the Euro, it looks better at least, today.- 1,263 replies
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The Euro did dip south by a bit. The NAM family is amped as usual at this range. I think the threat of frozen is very realistic.
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