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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    24 hr probs of more than 4 inches of snow.
  2. John1122
    The GEFS mean keeps rising.
  3. John1122
    That 1-16-59 analog produced a wide spread 2-5, inch snow around the area followed by highs around 20 and lows around 0.
  4. John1122
    Man that 18z would be rough to take. We get to watch a massive snow storm lurk just outside the area while it's 33 with heavy rain, out of an actually perfect track storm with record breaking cold very close by. For some reason the HP that feeds the cold moves SE that run then suddenly moves due south without further easterly movement. I'd guess 99.99 percent chance the whole storm that run is wrong but that would be one of the worst ways to be right.
  5. John1122
    These are actually pretty heavy for 5 or 10 minutes but small in area.
  6. John1122
    Snow shower rolled through here about 20 minutes ago. Much like Daniel Boone, I can see white above 2500 feet.
  7. John1122
    GFS is gonna be a big one for at least Western areas and maybe the whole forum area. Looks better than 00 or 06z.
  8. John1122
    That 1978 analog that's showing up had 3 or 4 major cold waves with below zero weather. On January 9th the temperature here went from 54 early in the morning to 3 degrees by midnight. We next went 24 hours without falling below freezing on March 9th. As crazy as that is, it's still warmer than 1977.
  9. John1122
    I'm old enough to want to skip the -15 to -20 stuff!
  10. John1122
    Oak Ridge got down to -13 in the wake of that winter storm in 1996. Official airport data says it happened with 12 inches of snow depth.
  11. John1122
    It was a severe winter storm basically across the whole forum area. Ice, sleet, snow and absolutely frigid air in its wake. Rockwood has missing data, but 8 inches of snow was recorded and then another 1.08 QPF fell with temps in the 20s. Lenoir City had 8 inches of snow officially recorded but also has missing data. Athens had 4 inches of snow but over 2 inches of QPF fell with temps below freezing.
  12. John1122
    That's the best whole of Tennessee winter storm since the 1970s. Somehow it didn't make MRX's list of memorable winter events. Of course there's a ton of missing data and questionable snow reports on the official record from that storm.
  13. John1122
    Knox rocked in 1996. You guys had something like 28-30 inches of snow that winter. A single event 12-15 inch snow was widespread over Knox Co, and the Anderson/Union border having close to 20 from the Feb 2nd storm. I actually made a ton of money Feb-May that year. So much snow and ice got into gutters it caused roof and ceiling damage. I stayed working in Halls around that time. I was doing repair work for Farm Bureau Insurance.
  14. John1122
    The other day I was looking at the LP on one of those cutters. Literally dumping snow on one side of St Louis and raining on the other, with the LP sitting directly on top of St Louis. Here, if the LP is only 150 miles to our south, we're getting rain most of the time. There, 1 mile north of the low was heavy snow.
  15. John1122
    10 years ago we were getting a massive arctic express. 40-50 degree temperature drops.
  16. John1122
    Anything outside D3, expect a 600 miles track window. The models are good at being within a day or two of a storm now, which is amazing, but they aren't good at track. I do find it impressive, as an aside, that they are trying to turn somewhere in Missouri or the Ohio River area, into the Sierra Nevada with 40 and 50 inch snow amounts over a week to 10 days.
  17. John1122
    Had a bit of snow but now it's mostly rain. 34 degrees. Didn't think the freezing rain would materialize.
  18. John1122
    That 00z d9/d10 storm isn't far off the 1969 storm mentioned by the look of it.
  19. John1122
    I think we'd term that "a good run" of the GFS.
  20. John1122
    February 15-17th 1969 was the big one here. 10+ across the TN/Ky border areas. 8-10 along the TN/Va border areas. Knoxville had 7 inches. Nooga only managed 1 inch. It was a wet/paste job. Another on Feb 23rd was 5 inches here, 5 in Tazewell. Also west paste.
  21. John1122
    The more recent I can usually remember it all. Especially the painful ones like that. The creeks near my house had ice 8 inches thick by the end of that cold snap. They didn't thaw until nearly February because we had another week or so long cold blast after those few days it warmed up and rained. We spent about 3 hours above freezing between the evening of the 13th and afternoon of the 20th. Had lows in that stretch of 8,0,1,18,0,4,6. Earlier that month we'd had 1, 0, -1, 10, 6, -1, 4. We were around -7 for the month and got about 2.5 inches of snow to show for it. However it rained on about half the days that month that the low was above freezing.
  22. John1122
    There's also a year recently where it got absolutely frigid in the Midwest and it refused to budge this way. Chicago was having subzero highs and we were in the 40s and 50s. It just wouldn't head this way. I'd never seen it get that cold there and stay warm here. Our classic cold waves hit Montana to Minnesota and come southeast as a rule. Usually if you see -30s in Minnesota, were gonna get it. That year it was a no go.
  23. John1122
    2017-18 was terrible for that. It rained 3 inches here on Dec 23rd and Christmas Eve with highs in the low 60s. It was 40s/20s on Christmas day, then it went ice box. My warmest day for the next 16 days was 36/16. I had 10 days with highs near 20 and lows from 1 to -1. Managed two dustings of snow and one maybe half incher through that stretch. The gulf coast got multiple winter storms while we were dry. It finally warmed up to 43 degrees here and rained half an inch. With three or four inches of snow on the ground we'd have had 1985 temperatures. I think south Central Kentucky had managed to get several inches at some point and had some near -30 lows out of that airmass. Getting below zero here with no snow is rare. I've only seen it maybe twice and that time we did it three days.
  24. John1122
    Thanks for the update. I've been worried about her. Hopefully that took care of everything and it's your family's last worry with the cancer.
  25. John1122
    We will see if it gets here but the Euro has old fashioned 1960s-1980s cold in the long range. -40s and even some -50 in Montana and Wyoming. Those types of air masses used to come down the front range and roll east. We will see if that can happen here.
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