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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    GFS FV16 also drops 1-2+ from the southern Plateau to SEKY. The regular GFS is close to it as well.
  2. John1122
    I hate that this is the one system that ends up further east than modeled this year. I was hoping AMZ and our other posters out that way scored. Maybe some N.Ala or Southern Middle folks can get something going. Probably the NAM being the NAM but the 3k drops 3-4 inches above Holston in Frozenhead and over Cross Mtn.
  3. John1122
    Another day with snow on the ground. Certainly blowing past the last few winters in that regard.
  4. John1122
    MEG says 1.5 inches or more possible across their north Central and NE Miss counties. Possibly more if it stays cooler Monday. Says most of the area will see light to moderate snow falling for Monday morning commute. Hope it over performs for all you guys.
  5. John1122
    It's been cloudy for days now. The same pattern that just dumped moisture all of 2020 here. Thick clouds and 30 right now with the occasional flurry.
  6. John1122
    Same here. Had tiny flakes all day yesterday. These are actually dime sized with a penny or two mixed in. Clouds stayed thick overnight. Only down to 28 after what had looked like 21 or so would happen.
  7. John1122
    RGEM a little east and weaker than the NAM this morning.
  8. John1122
    3k agrees, still snowing over west and even some of middle Tennessee at this point. It went for another 12 hours or so on the 12k.
  9. John1122
    West siders got NAM'd this morning!
  10. John1122
    It's very possible. The Canadian, RGEM show it there and the Euro jumped well NW too. The GFS is close and it's been missing way to the East so far this season.
  11. John1122
    There was 3-4 inches from here to Bell County to the Cumberland Gap area too. Map shading seems a bit off on the ground reality.
  12. John1122
    The 18z GFSV16, which has been working better than the GFS moved its snow shield a good bit N in North Mississippi from 12z to 18z. Also much better for NW Alabama than the prior run. The track is similar but it was better organized longer at 18z. The Euro from 0z last night to 12z today was a major improvement for N Miss too. 12z
  13. John1122
    Never wager on snow anywhere in the South but this one looks really good for at least part of Mississippi. I really hope the RGEM is correct and it just smokes you guys.
  14. John1122
    I don't believe in jinxing but appreciate anyone who does! I hope you all score something!
  15. John1122
    Went ahead and posted a thread for this system. It's almost universally modeled that at least Mississippi gets snow here. I know we have a Miss poster and would actually welcome more or even Louisiana posters. We welcome anyone in the SEC footprint*. *SC/Fla/GA posters are doody heads with their own subforum.
  16. John1122
    Figured with this within 72 hours of laying down some Mississippi snow love we may as well have a separate thread for it. Virtually all modeling is now hitting parts of Mississippi with a good bit of snow that washes out as it heads NE into Alabama and Tennessee. Several models who are performing well this winter have some N Miss and West Tennessee love to share. The latest RGEM was very bullish with the entire western half of the state seeing snow at 84 with a good bit down in N Miss and West Tennessee. GFS is so progressive this year it can't be relied upon in the d2-7ish range. Ironically it actually nailed the Christmas event at D9/10 then lost it to the East until the last minute. So ride a Canadian/Euro blend and hope for victory! Good luck to the western valley with this one!
  17. John1122
    Looking back, obviously no model got this right and it was unlikely they ever would due to the nature of the ULL and the extreme microclimate that led to valley downsloping and kept the upper levels probably 1-2 degrees from being a major snow event. It feels like the GFS got it the most wrong, at least in my area. Probably for DB's area as well and for everyone who got sno in Middle Tennessee like Blue Moon. Way too far east/progressive. It's been a major issue with the GFS all season and historically, except this year it's not even doing a strong NW trend as a rule.
  18. John1122
    MRX event recap.
  19. John1122
    With so much moisture it may stick around into tomorrow or Sunday, especially if it stays cloudy. It will be a slab of ice tonight once it gets into the 20s.
  20. John1122
    Yes, it's like concrete. The 10:1 maps giving me 5-6 inches were spot on given the actual ratio. I just measured again and I've lost almost 1/3rd of an inch due to compacting. The bottom layer is like 1/2 inch thick frost you have to scrape off.
  21. John1122
    Seeing people saying that it goes from a blanket of snow in Campbell County to bare ground as soon as you cross the AC line. It's amazing how often a snow line happens there almost exactly at the border.
  22. John1122
    I noticed at one point it was 30 in Oneida and 37 in Oliver Springs on some weather stations.
  23. John1122
    Actually looking back at the radar stove posted at 2:20 there was an odd nose of rain up against the mountains in eastern Morgan county on the back side of Cross Mtn/Frozenhead. I wonder if the NE/ENE wind off it downsloped eastern Morgan and caused the rain?
  24. John1122
    That really surprises me. The ptype radar looked good for you overnight.
  25. John1122
    That's surprising to me too. I had just a very little bit of rain mixed in after the first burst of heavy snow but once it picked back up there was nothing but snow the rest of the night. Down to a few random flurries now. How much did you get?
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