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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    I just clapped my hands and yelled and he took off. They are pretty skittish here. No tourists or anything, they are truly wild.
  2. John1122
    Ran into this fellow yesterday walking in the woods behind my house.
  3. John1122
    Even with three mornings in a row in the 20s, the leaves are still hanging in with strong colors around 1500 and down.
  4. John1122
    Pretty sure that gonzo run promoted a statement from the MRX Facebook page about crazy model snow outputs. It's gone on the 6z, interesting that it actually started D8/9 on the 0z. Huge snow events are very possible in November. November and March are single storm record holders for many in the valley region.
  5. John1122
    Hit 34 at midnight. Currently 32.8 with heavy frost forming. Still expecting 29-30 by morning.
  6. John1122
    The big softwoods are still colorful here but losing leaves fast. The 25 footers and down are mostly or fully bare. The hardwoods are pretty colorful but are always muted compared to the maples and such here. They usually start to turn, a bug freeze hits and they brown fast.
  7. John1122
    Raw, cold day today, 42 degrees as we pass 11am. Leaves are still nice but slightly past peak. Lots of the smaller trees are bare now. Even though MRX is forecasting 33 here as of now for tonight, I suspect we will be close to the 29 that's being forecast just across the KY line in Whitley Co. A heavy frost/freeze will push a lot of leaves down.
  8. John1122
    The Euro backed off that bonkers run from last night but still has accumulating snow on the Plateau and mountains. More in the 2-3 inch range rather than 3-6 inches. The Canadian also shows an inch or two along the same areas. MRX has introduced a chance of rain or snow showers here for next Friday. Says rain with a low of 32 Thursday night, rain and show showers Friday with a high of 43.
  9. John1122
    It was snowing there yesterday evening according to WVLT.
  10. John1122
    Well that was an epic Euro run for Thursday night into Friday. Low pressure works south of the area and up into the Carolinas with heavy wet slop behind it, nails the Plateau/SE Ky. The Euro phases the southern stream and northern stream and really wraps in some cold air. No phase on the GFS. Early season model battle.
  11. John1122
    Today, anything between 1250 and 2500 looks good. Tons of color. I didn't drive up to 3000 and it's in a cloud the past two days so I'm not sure what the status is that high up.
  12. John1122
    European and Canadian showing the first flakes early next week again tonight.
  13. John1122
    Colors looked brilliant in the cloudy backdrop today. This heavy rain may be taking a toll on them tonight. I think they're still going to have a little more time though. They weren't as far along as they were last year when the rain storm took them off.
  14. John1122
    The rain may do a number here. Last year a rain storm around this time of the month stripped trees bare.
  15. John1122
    Looks like 35 might do it tonight. Thick fog rolled in with very low visibility.
  16. John1122
    Hit the upper 30s by 10:30, 37 right now. May make a run at freezing by morning. A frost is likely inbound regardless.
  17. John1122
    It's been in the 40s all afternoon. It truly feels cold after it was so warm the prior 48 hours.
  18. John1122
    While it didn't work in our favor after Nov 2019, a cool/cold November is still a good start on cold/wintry D-J-F years. So if I could choose, I'll always pick a cold November over a warm one. October has been pretty warm so far, I normally have a freeze this month but it looks like that isn't going to happen. Nothing below 37 here so far. The leaves did catch fire after last week's cold shot. They are really popping, especially maples and poplars. Hard woods are showing some color but it's still patchy.
  19. John1122
    Bank it!
  20. John1122
    Third straight morning in the 30s with sunny afternoons has a lot of color popping out. We will probably peak between October 28th and November 3rd or so this year. A good 10 days later than last year.
  21. John1122
    Looking back, last year my first frost was October 3rd, first freeze the 17th and my leaves were gone by Halloween.
  22. John1122
    Ended up at 37 this morning. Should help get the leaves rolling faster.
  23. John1122
    39 out there with about 2 hours of cooling left to go. First 30s of fall season always gets me happy.
  24. John1122
    Yes. Nina is tougher along the Apps, but 80 percent of the valley was wintry last year.
  25. John1122
    The PDO and Nina seems to produce mixed results. It was negative this past winter and it was snowy/icy/cold for most of the valley. It was negative in 2010-11 and that was a very snow winter with BN Temps. It was also negative for the 2011-12 Nina and that one was very warm. So the -PDO seems to run the gamut on winter outcomes from cold and snowy to very mild.
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