John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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Absolutely awesome news! Happy for your family.
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Rained hard for about 15 minutes today around noon-1pm. After that it dried out long enough so that I was able to mow. Still, 9 days in a row with rain.
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And another heavy shower is moving over now. 8 days in a row with rainfall.
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Super heavy rainer slowly crawling by right now. No thunder at all, just a drenching shower.
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Only had a brief shower this evening, enough to wet the grass again. It's rained at least some every day for 7 consecutive days.
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I live right at 100 miles almost due west of Tri-Cities Airport and it's an incredible difference as far as total precip goes over such a short period. That's the power of geography on weather.
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Another day, another thunderstorm. It's like living on the Florida peninsula where a thunderstorm invariably pops up every day. My yard is growing with incredible speed as are my tomato plants and zucchinis.
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Ended up with a solid 3 hours of rain. Lots of lightning and thunder for the first hour then just two hours of steady rain.
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There was a pretty good eastward movement to the complex of storms and they ended up pouring over my area. MRX had initially put up that they would remain west of 75. Looks like they are going to overspread the 75 corridor and east now.
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The firehose is pointed up the Plateau but it might be 10 or so miles west of here by the say it looks right now. Otherwise just had a few sprinkles today. Any eastward movement and I'll probably get soaked again this evening.
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More heavy showers rolled through in the last hour. Looks like more lined up west of my area heading this way. Future radar gives me another good soaker around 4:30, we will see if it's close to being right. Hopefully some finally make it to Carvers' backyard.
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CPC went bullish for the follow up Nina, usually a good pattern for the western 2/3rds of Tennessee in winter (see last year) but occasionally the SE ridge will be suppressed enough for the entire state to cash in pretty well. 2010-2011, 1995-1996 come to mind.
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Had some moderate showers again today, but not as long lasting or intense as yesterday and the day before. It was extremely humid and my grass managed to stay wet all day as the showers were timed out just enough to not let it dry.
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Another soaker rolling across. A few rumbles of thunder with this one.
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Had a good hour long soaker earlier today, sprinkles off and on the rest of the afternoon into early evening. 71 degrees on the 7th of July is really hard to complain about.
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Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's rained every day this week here and it's coming down heavily now. Crazy how much difference being closer to the mountains is from its rain shadow. -
Nice heavy soaker rolled over. Lots of lightning and thunder but nothing severe here imby even the storm was warned.
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The last ENSO probs I saw from a few days ago were 55% neutral, 30% La Nina, 15% El Nino for DJF with increasing neutral odds for JFM. The oceans are odd right now with a lot of BN and AN that basically are blotchy across the basins. So at least the oceans aren't a rampaging torchfest any more and the La Nina did work in taking away a ton of that stored heat.
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I'm not sure what we will see winter wise but I do know that we've rarely had one cold/snowy/icy without having another one or two after it over the last twenty or thirty years. For that reason alone I wouldn't be surprised to see a fairly wintry pattern at times during D-M. I do know that while I enjoy most forms of cold/freezing weather, day after day of freezing fog and freezing drizzle is something I'd rather not see again any time soon. It profoundly changed the shape of the tree canopy here.
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Another cool morning, dropped the temp in the house down so much my A/C didn't kick on until about 3:45 this afternoon.
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Have my motion camera out behind my house a little ways down in a dip along side the creek trying to get pictures of a bear that's been in the area. It apparently gets chilly in that dip. It was 46 at 1am last night when that blob (it's a raccoon) set the camera off.
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All the best to your wife and family buddy. Praying everything is benign and she's quickly on the road to recovery.
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That's wild. We've not had anything nearly that long of a thunderstorm gap.
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53 this morning and only 71 right now. I'll order more of that for July but won't expect it back until September.
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I ended up with around 5 and a half inches of rain over the course of the week. Rainy, but nothing like last year or the year before when I was having a 3-4+ inch rain event every few days. Still we have had historic floods 4 times in the past 30 months. That's due to having the rainiest years in the last 100 years or so back to back.
