
John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
After that last post I looked out and its light snow again. But just the edge of the band is clipping me. Hopefully future radar is correct, it has snow moving back in around 9 and lasting til 3am. Downstream of me is N and E Knoxville, Jefferson etc. So hopefully it fills in for us all soon. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The band reloaded over Oneida, I expect Holston will get another round from it. It's just dying out a couple miles West of me so far. Barely snowed any here in 2+ hours. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's slowly trying to move east. I'm not sure if it's broken or not from the stuff in Kentucky or if that's just a blank spot in the radar coverage over McCreary County. If it's not a blank radar spot it's probably going to be south of me before it gets far enough East. For points South it looks like it's surviving moving off the Plateau so you guys in Anderson and West Knox will probably get in on it. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Friend in Oneida in the same band as Holston said its a blizzard there. So close, yet so far! -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The snow shield is pretty big on radar. It certainly wasn't modeled this size any where. Future radar tries to mostly dry it up but not sure if that will happen or not. But it looks like it's snowing into western areas still and down into Alabama. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Down to flurries here for the last hour. Hoping one of those bands rotate my way, but they may miss me to the East or West. They mean business when you get one, as Wintersnow just showed. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's down to flurries here. The ground is whitish and the roads were turning grey. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Future radar has about 2 hours of moderate to heavy snow here from 8ish to 10ish. Who knows with it though. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I tried looking at some Nashville area cams but they are all blurry. At least the ones I could find. I found one from Carthage that was stuck at 43 minutes ago but it looked foggy/snowy on it. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Got high hopes that holds together for us all. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm hoping they drop into Tennessee. That's the arc the HRRR was showing laying down 3-5 inches from NW Kentucky to here, it pushed 1-2 inches into your back yard on a run or two. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I don't know if it's the better radar coverage or not, but that band heading into Cookeville looks nice. It was showing up on the hi-res models yesterday but looks even better than they had it. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
20 miles N and a few hundred feet produces dramatic differences in East Tennessee. Upslope, downslope, warm noses, the works. I feel bad for MRX because a general weather forecast is different across the width of a county. Your weather is a lot different than the airport or west Knox. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Steady nickels with some quarters. About 1/4th inch down. Went to Co-Op to buy straw, it's snowing hard in LaFollette but it's about 34 and it wasn't sticking while I was there. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ground is getting white here now. Temp is 32.4. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The mountains around me are starting to get that foggy look. Not sure if there's snow upstream or not due to spotty radar coverage. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Slowly picking up here. Nickels and dimes falling now. Sticking on cars that haven't been running, deck rails etc. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I saw those soundings in the showers on the HRRR. Should be just blinding snow as the cells come by. Hopefully they get as many of us as possible. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Light snow here. Not really showing up on radar really. 33 degrees. -
January and February 1984 were awesome here for winter weather. We had 14 inches of snow in January. A 4 inch event, a 3 inch event a few days later and a 7 inch event a few days after that. There were two days of well below zero cold and several more near zero. February was a roller coaster but we got a foot that month. 7 inches early in the month on the 6th and 5 inches on leap day. The early February event had a -7 low in its wake. Looking at observations it was a northern Plateau pattern. Oneida and Jamestown have similar numbers. Numbers taper off south or east of those areas but I never trust airport data. To many M's that happen around snowfall days.
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January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The hi-res models keep putting that band right over me. The RAP put down 3-4 inches on its extended 09z run. I'm hoping for an inch. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
A few strays are floating by out there right now. Lots of dry air still. The lapse rates are really steep in the convective snow showers the HRRR has been advertising. 20-25c temperature drop from the surface to 700mb. -
MRX added the Northern Plateau counties to the WWA but mentioned that heavier convective showers are also possible into the Central Valley. Should be fun if you get a band or snow squall. The eastern mountains are golden.
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Historic Tennessee Valley Cold, Snow, and Ice Events
John1122 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
January 10th/11th 1997. There was 3-5 inches from the Plateau west. Not sure about Chattanooga, Tri, and Knox, very unreliable snowfall data from MRX during that time frame, but it shows those area with 1-2 inches. It was a very cold/high ratio snow. I had 4.5 inches. A coop station near me recorded .35 precip. The airports in East Tennessee recorded much less QPF, like .10 to .15. Probably an error but I am not sure. OHX has Crossville, Allardt and Jamestown at 5 inches on .4 precip Nashville at 3 inches. MEG has 3.6 in Memphis, and a general 3-4 across most of West Tennessee. It ushered in a very cold week.- 127 replies
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Euro took a huge step southeast with the system next week. Major Apps runner/winter storm for western forum areas vs a cutter up into Illinois at 12z. The trend this year has been East and South. Maybe another storm in the process of doing that. Another step like this last one and we are looking at something like what the GFS was showing that it lost.