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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. The ICON isn't as far south as the GFS but the northern 3/4ths of Tennessee looks to be getting snow on it.
  2. It arrives the evening of the 15th for the western areas and continues into the evening of the 16th for eastern areas.
  3. I've never seen the Canadian so reluctant to gin up a winter storm when the other models are showing it so consistently. It's normally all about some wild snow and cold events.
  4. That's a "what dreams are made of" kind of snow event. It is frigid, happens during the day, and it snows for 12+ hours for many of us.
  5. That's how you get a major, forum wide, winter storm. It's snowing in the 10s and low 20s for some of us as it finishes up.
  6. I was at basketball games this evening. No wind when I left the gym but it's ripping here at home.
  7. The Euro also sped that storm up a lot. It's big storm from 00z actually really got rolling over the area on the 16th. It was a full day earlier today.
  8. I will say that the trend for storms, as has been noted, is SE not NW so far this year. So hopefully the SE/Atl ridge that causes that Apps runner is actually weaker or further east.
  9. Snowing on the Gulf Coast beaches and raining in the Apps of East Tennessee is normal.
  10. Apps runner this go. Plateau and West cashes in. That's as far east as it gets with frozen.
  11. Low is up into Central Alabama, if it runs the Apps Mid and West Tennessee will get smoked and Eastern areas are gonna rain.
  12. Warm nose doing warm nose things towards the East, unfortunately.
  13. Incoming on the Euro, at least for the guys and gals on the west side.
  14. It was a cutter initially, then an apps runner, then it had been a miller A ever since. It's possible it had a run as a wave on a front but I can't remember it.
  15. That was a big change by the GFS, going from a true Miller A to a frontal passage with a wave. Curious to see if the ensembles also abandon the miller A.
  16. The number of big hitters is growing. I believe it was around 5 at 12z.
  17. That 1-16-59 analog produced a wide spread 2-5, inch snow around the area followed by highs around 20 and lows around 0.
  18. Man that 18z would be rough to take. We get to watch a massive snow storm lurk just outside the area while it's 33 with heavy rain, out of an actually perfect track storm with record breaking cold very close by. For some reason the HP that feeds the cold moves SE that run then suddenly moves due south without further easterly movement. I'd guess 99.99 percent chance the whole storm that run is wrong but that would be one of the worst ways to be right.
  19. These are actually pretty heavy for 5 or 10 minutes but small in area.
  20. Snow shower rolled through here about 20 minutes ago. Much like Daniel Boone, I can see white above 2500 feet.
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