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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    That Rgem run would be an all time winter storm for any month of the year. As I've said a few times, those are more likely to happen in March than any other month.
  2. John1122
    I think that may be the biggest run over the biggest area of any model yet. 9 in Knoxville, Murfreesboro and Chattanooga is crazy.
  3. John1122
    Kablooey!
  4. John1122
    The RGEM looks...robust.
  5. John1122
    Those 18z runs were just crazy. I am not surprised it backed down off of them. Everything still looks pretty solid.
  6. John1122
    The 18z suite was into the tequila. 0z is sobering up a little. My 20+ on the 18z 3k is more around 6 on the 0z.
  7. John1122
    It changed over faster on the HRRR too.
  8. John1122
    Visual of the 21z SREF.
  9. John1122
    18z HRRR 00z HRRR
  10. John1122
    Basically followed the SREF plumes. Up over the Plateau area and Mid Tn, and around the same over the East Valley. Looks like more snow out west vs 18z as well.
  11. John1122
    Pulling through Central NC by 12z. Faster out than other models.
  12. John1122
    Strengthening and heading NE now. Huge run shaping up it looks like.
  13. John1122
    HRRR is coming in quite a bit different. Low was near Asheville at 06z Saturday at 18z. Here at 00z its over South Central Alabama at the same hour.
  14. John1122
    We are around 24 hours out for AMZ and our west sider from this starting. Shelby is under snow returns by 8pm CST tomorrow per the HRRR. It's coming in healthier out west than 18z.
  15. John1122
    SREF mean is around 7 inches for the Plateau and SE KY. Around 4 inches for Tri/SWVa and nearly 4 for Chattanooga.
  16. John1122
    The mean is 4 inches for Memphis, 5 for Nashville and Knoxville. Each have a few 10+ inch big hitters. Nashville had a 15 incher.
  17. John1122
    Not such which model Accuweather uses.
  18. John1122
    Another 1993 flashback. WVLT met said "don't believe these big totals you're seeing shared on social media of model out puts. No way it is going to happen." Eerily reminiscent of Matt Hinkin's famous statement in 1993 about not believing the 12+ inch totals and blizzard talk being thrown about. He said 6 inches max back then.
  19. John1122
    Looks like David Aldrich is drinking NAM juice.
  20. John1122
    For those asking about snow in East Tennessee in March. 2018 had several days of pretty widespread snow. There was generally 1 to 3 in East Tn and up to 3 or 4 inches in SE Kentucky.
  21. John1122
    That sleet burst, if it happens, will greatly aid in snow sticking. Even 1/4th inch would be huge.
  22. John1122
    Anyone have the GFS sleet map? It shows a strong burst of sleet on the leading edge of the precip.
  23. John1122
    5 hours after it stops, snow depth isn't much less than snowfall on the RAP.
  24. John1122
    21z Rap maintains.
  25. John1122
    I can't believe these extreme runs, even though I know they are very very possible in March storms. Even more likely in March storms as a matter of fact. That gfs run would be dumping 3 inches an hour here.
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