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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    Pulling through Central NC by 12z. Faster out than other models.
  2. John1122
    Strengthening and heading NE now. Huge run shaping up it looks like.
  3. John1122
    HRRR is coming in quite a bit different. Low was near Asheville at 06z Saturday at 18z. Here at 00z its over South Central Alabama at the same hour.
  4. John1122
    We are around 24 hours out for AMZ and our west sider from this starting. Shelby is under snow returns by 8pm CST tomorrow per the HRRR. It's coming in healthier out west than 18z.
  5. John1122
    SREF mean is around 7 inches for the Plateau and SE KY. Around 4 inches for Tri/SWVa and nearly 4 for Chattanooga.
  6. John1122
    The mean is 4 inches for Memphis, 5 for Nashville and Knoxville. Each have a few 10+ inch big hitters. Nashville had a 15 incher.
  7. John1122
    Not such which model Accuweather uses.
  8. John1122
    Another 1993 flashback. WVLT met said "don't believe these big totals you're seeing shared on social media of model out puts. No way it is going to happen." Eerily reminiscent of Matt Hinkin's famous statement in 1993 about not believing the 12+ inch totals and blizzard talk being thrown about. He said 6 inches max back then.
  9. John1122
    Looks like David Aldrich is drinking NAM juice.
  10. John1122
    For those asking about snow in East Tennessee in March. 2018 had several days of pretty widespread snow. There was generally 1 to 3 in East Tn and up to 3 or 4 inches in SE Kentucky.
  11. John1122
    That sleet burst, if it happens, will greatly aid in snow sticking. Even 1/4th inch would be huge.
  12. John1122
    Anyone have the GFS sleet map? It shows a strong burst of sleet on the leading edge of the precip.
  13. John1122
    5 hours after it stops, snow depth isn't much less than snowfall on the RAP.
  14. John1122
    21z Rap maintains.
  15. John1122
    I can't believe these extreme runs, even though I know they are very very possible in March storms. Even more likely in March storms as a matter of fact. That gfs run would be dumping 3 inches an hour here.
  16. John1122
    In his follow up the WVLT met said snow will be falling extremely hard but it won't be able to accumulate until the temperature drops into the mid-20s. Is there a TV meteorology degree where you don't actually study weather but just broadcasting instead?
  17. John1122
    WVLT's met once again said the snow will be coming down extremely hard but the accumulation will be "lost to puddles".
  18. John1122
    I'll allow it!
  19. John1122
    Monster snowfall rates and 35mph wind gusts...reminds me of something from a famous March event.
  20. John1122
    The HRRR was another very good run for most of us.
  21. John1122
    I expect a Winter Storm Watch to be issued for my area, the mountains and SWVa at minimum.
  22. John1122
    It's flatter, the other models take it up into NC. The Euro scoots it eastward even though it's very wound up at 999 and falling fast. Those usually turn NE.
  23. John1122
    Euro rolling in with the monkey wrench. Strong storm but 1/3rd the precip vs all other modeling. Not sure why it's precip field is so much less than everyone else.
  24. John1122
    09z RAP hot off the presses. Still snowing Plateau east here as the Low is just north of Charlotte at 995.
  25. John1122
    The Euro is 1-3 across the middle and west areas and 3-6+ from the Plateau Eastward, north of about Athens or so. It's the fastest out with the system.
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