
John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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Just had a snow shower roll through.
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- frost
- cold front
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NAM jumps on board for some wet heavy snow flying. Basically 40 North to the border areas in the Eastern valley.
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I was wondering how much wintery weather you got. Appeared to be a long duration event.
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UKIE trying to get onboard with a snow thump from my area to NE Tn and N. UKIE and GFS have it, short range and Canadians don't.
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Euro tried for some frozen precipitation just south of where the GFS placed it.
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GFS is trying to bring back the Sunday system but the hi-res models aren't biting.
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Spring/Summer 2022 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
If the GEFS is to be believed, we will start March cool and then warm up until mid-month at least. Probably my biggest hope as we hit spring is no early long duration well AN temps in March that cause things to bloom early. Carvers report on the weeklies make that seem not so big a worry. Hopefully they verify.- 216 replies
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Meteorological Spring hits March 1st, thus begins the quiet season on the forums. This thread should suffice until fall for any long range disco. I doubt the last flakes have fallen this year but I don't really expect another widespread winter threat either. It was definitely a Plateau to Western Tennessee winter. Tough for Eastern areas not to do any better with virtually the entire month of January being BN for temps. The flood threat, as it always seems to be these days, is definitely elevated again this spring. The severe threat, I'll leave that to Jeff, Jax, and the rest of the severe gurus.
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Looks like cold temps have pressed further east than expected. It's 32 in Jamestown and it looks like some mixed areas are showing up in Fentress and Scott as well as southern Kentucky.
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- frost
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Any western folks getting the winter storm side of this event? Extremely windy here.
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- frost
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TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
John1122 replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Everything is at full bank here. Another couple of inches tonight and tomorrow will see things get pretty rough unless there's significant lowering of creeks before tonight. Driving off the mountain a few minutes ago, the dry washes are still running full bore. -
The Thunder that Holston got is moving over here now. Getting close to 2 inches of rain since last night.
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18z GFS was a Middle Tennessee, Plateau and NE TN and points north into S Kentucky and SW VA paste job. 0z coming in shortly. Hopefully it doesn't fold and the other models get on board.
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Sparking a brawl at work would get basically anyone else on Earth fired and charged. It's funny how sports figures can get away with it with no legal repercussions. -
That's the way it goes 90 percent of the time with late season snows. But it's always fun while it's falling. The Euro has the same snow footprint but just much lighter amounts.
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The squall line moving through means business with wind and driving rain. I'd say some 50+ gusts in it.
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The GFS was similar to 0z but remains alone. That's happened all winter, sometimes its been right and the others folded, sometimes wrong and it did. Hopefully it's right with a late winter send off.
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Canadian is nothing, ICON is slightly south of the GFS but warmer. It's got a known warm bias.
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GFS rocked the 40 corridor that run. Rain to heavy snow moves right along 40, West to East.
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Another big hitter north of 40 on the 18z GFS.
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
7 years ago today. I think I had 11 inches of snow on the ground at this time as well as some ice. -
I hadn't had time to look at the Euro. That's a beautiful look, and would really cap off winter for some of us and save it some for others.
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GFS and Euro both are trying for a storm at the end of the month. Major ice storm for NW Tn and NE Arkansas before this one. 0z Euro is a little weaker and more suppressed than the 12z GFS.
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Yes, downsloping is huge for NE TN and SW VA. I get 20 inches more precipitation a year than some areas over your way.
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I believe that sometimes just being further north helps. Jamestown/Oneida and my area are about the same latitude and similar in Elevation. I know that 1200 feet in Campbell County gets more snow than 1200 feet in Knox County as a rule and 1200 feet in S Kentucky gets more than 1200 in Campbell.