
John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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The trend has been East and South lately with storms. Hopefully the Euro fired a shot that the GFS caves to like it did last week with a major S/E trend. Another 150 miles south and 150 miles East to that low track would be a much better solution for us. The Euro shifted that far or further from 0z to 12z.
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The MJO right now, looks like it will spend the first half of February in Phase 3. That's one of the best places it can be for winter for the Tennessee Valley area.
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The UKIE shows this but looking at 850s, almost all of it would be freezing rain from around Nashville East.
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Lots of honking for a big ice storm, a devastating one in Western areas. Crazy that the GFS had that look at D15 or 16. The Euro and UKMet spread winter across the state.
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January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This is a basic map for downsloping off the Plateau in Tennessee. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ended up with 4.1 inches it looks like. Sunny and 14 with ice crystals blowing around outside. Areas just west of me where the band was around earlier had 5 inches. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Another round of moderate snow falling. Gonna have to grab an hour or two of sleep soon but always hate to when it's snowing like this. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Over performer to say the least. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Upslope engaged. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ripping again here. I didn't expect to see it keep up like this. 18 degrees and windy. Gonna have drifts like Shocker. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'd think you were all snow. Too cold in the upper levels for graupel, which is a partially melted flake. Looks like it was ripping there. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
They were mostly nickel sized with some quarter sized flakes. It's so cold the flakes don't get huge, they just fall thickly. It's slowed down some now but man, that was a ride. The HRRR runs that popped 3 inches over me is going to be close. Maybe a bit too light. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Finally got it to upload.- 242 replies
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January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Trying to upload a gif of this, but no cell service and poor home internet speed is making it tough. 2 inches has fallen in the last 45 minutes. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's crazy how hard it's snowing right now. It reminds me of the blizzard of 1993. Flakes are dime to nickel sized but there's so many of them it's like being in a heavy fog outside. Plus the wind is probably 20-25mph at times. I assume I'm in a squall. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Doesn't do justice to how hard it's snowing. Very low visibility, strong winds from the NW. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Flow snow seems to be underway now. Foggy look, small flakes, nothing on radar over me. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The meso low in middle Tennessee looks healthy out that way, but not sure of the ground truth there. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hopefully it's moving south! -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
That stinks. I dodged them for a long time too but finally cashed in. Future radar shows you getting some action soon and another wave rolls off the Plateau your way from 12 to 1 on it. I was skeptical of it earlier but the snow moved in when it showed and it's been pretty solid depicting what's happened. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
These never do justice to how hard it's actually snowing. I think it's the led motion light, but its heavy with 1/4th mile vis and swirling winds. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's actually pouring here now. The radar went from ragged to booming. Visibility is between 1/4th and 1/2 mile. Classic powdery snow. My friend who lives by Cove Lake at 1050 feet has over 2 inches. So it's completely non elevation driven. It's just luck of the bands driven. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Just saw a FB video down in Caryville on the valley floor, it was near whiteout conditions with at least a couple of inches down. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
After getting missed to the west all night it looks like the snow squall in Kentucky is going to miss me to the east by a couple of miles. -
January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Quarters and nickels falling again. 27 degrees. Around 3/4ths inch. Its looking more ragged up stream.