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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    It's still going almost state wide still at that point. It's still going in Northern Louisiana and Southern Arkansas and it's aimed all the way to SW VA. Looks like sleet for Northern Alabama and Georgia at the end with heavy precip aimed at Chattanooa around the transition zone.
  2. John1122
    For posterity. Still ripping over the region at this time.
  3. John1122
    @AMZ8990 Should be singing "Oh Canada!" at this point and I'll join him. We may need to change getting "nam'd" to getting "rgem'd".
  4. John1122
    Memphis area is getting smoked this run of the RGEM.
  5. John1122
    The RGEM appears to be amped like the GGEM.
  6. John1122
    The NAM is forming a low in the Western Gulf at the end of it's run, it appears. That would be the potential second wave of precip Tuesday.
  7. John1122
    I honestly expected even more from the NAM by looking at it's precip panels.
  8. John1122
    We are getting NAM'd currently though.
  9. John1122
    We've not even gotten to the under 24 hours rug pulling stage yet.
  10. John1122
    Positive overnight trends. The Euro hopefully continues at 12z. It's rarely one to make huge jumps but it could here. Seems like a lot of modeling converged overnight towards a Tennessee special.
  11. John1122
    The UKIE, which in my memory has generally had a warm bias, is incredibly cold after the storm. It's got -20s showing up in East Tennessee on Wednesday morning. -14 in Knoxville.
  12. John1122
    Non-ratio'd UKIE
  13. John1122
    The UKIE was even better than 12z for the whole forum. Don't have a ratio'd map for it but it's especially huge for the Plateau and West but still 3-5 over a lot of the East.
  14. John1122
    It looks like the Euro from maybe 48 hours ago. It was amped and putting 50s in East Tennessee.
  15. John1122
    Models are trying for another potentially big storm in the 174-200hrs out range.
  16. John1122
    Well, it's the crazy uncle for a reason. It's know for wild solutions but lately it seems to more mirror the GFS or Euro but will still throw a wild pitch now and then.
  17. John1122
    The CMC has me at 20 degrees with 750-850mb at about 34f getting almost half an inch of freezing rain and sleet after 4 to 6 inches of paste. I'd probably be powerless for 2 weeks.
  18. John1122
    I'd be fine for you guys but man, I could do without the ice on top of the snow! I want power for the single digits!
  19. John1122
    I'm still mainly looking at trends regarding track. QPF will always vary from run to run and small things make big windows 3 or 4 days away. The inconsistencies with this show how many directions the plinko chip can still fall on a given run.
  20. John1122
    I wouldn't be surprised to see the Euro and the Canadian look similar at this point. The solutions are literally all over the map across all modeling.
  21. John1122
    The GFS is popping a gulf low. If we can get it moving NE instead of East it will be nice.
  22. John1122
    ICON was a good run but a bad trend for now, as it stepped a little more Southeast and instead of running a low up Hatteras it went out to sea. The clown map still looked nice but I was hoping to see the SE trend back off. After years of NW trends hurting us, we may be in the year of the SE trend.
  23. John1122
    The ICON is almost a mirror image, through 78, of its solid 18z run.
  24. John1122
    The RGEM slowed down too but it's still ahead of the NAM. It was working well for the west side as the run ended.
  25. John1122
    The 00z NAM is definitely slower/holding back more than other guidance.
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