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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    The Canadian looks almost exactly like the RGEM.
  2. John1122
    0z GFS is not quite the RGEM but it wasn't too far off.
  3. John1122
    Just beautiful!
  4. John1122
    Bring on the RGEM! Maybe the best run of any model for the forum area.
  5. John1122
    Knoxville got 12+ from that one as well.
  6. John1122
    The RGEM is still on board as well. The GFS was further north slightly and it warm nosed the eastern valley up to about Loudon Co.
  7. John1122
    With the temps crashing into the 20s so fast, I think it might be less hard on the power grid here. An initial sleet burst is also intriguing. Sleet accumulates more easily than anything else, it may lay down a quick base coat to aid in accumulations.
  8. John1122
    I'm going to hope 50 percent of what falls sticks/accumulates. I'd be generally in 3-4 inches if that happens.
  9. John1122
    The NAM is much warmer than other models and has an unusual warm nose from 700mb down to 850mb that caused the sleet/zr in those areas.
  10. John1122
    06z suite maintains the storm. Crazy snowfall rates on the GFS and Rgem. Temps in the 20s with heavy rates should make for easy accumulations.
  11. John1122
    RGem is on board. What could possibly go wrong?? In all seriousness, it would be amazing that we leave winter and then score a big one in the most narrow window in mid March and the models reeled it in from a good week out.
  12. John1122
    GEFS mean is impressive.
  13. John1122
    Ratio'd GFS is huge. Our biggest events happen in November and March. Just more energy to work with when they actually manage to get the cold air.
  14. John1122
    The Canadian took another step towards the GFS and has a much more widespread event than it did at 12z. Thread may be needed by tomorrow for this one as long as everything sticks together. Accumulation will be aided by it being an evening into overnight event. Rates will also come into play. Ground temps are a bit of a factor but can easily be overcome by rates. The huge April 1987 snow had temps the last week of March in the mid to upper 70s, it snowed around 1-2 inches on March 31st after the high being 75 and 71 in the two days before it. Highs were in the 50s on April 1st and 2nd, cold crashed in on the 2nd, as rain started, by the evening of the second silver dollar were falling here, 10-12 inches fell from evening into overnight. It just melts quickly from the ground up when the ground is so warm but it should look amazing for a few hour on Sat morning if we can pull it off.
  15. John1122
    0z GFS is quite enthusiastic. Gonna be a huge run it looks like.
  16. John1122
    06z GFS says Kaboom!
  17. John1122
    The GFS may be overamping, which seems to be an issue with it since it was the Para. It would be nice if it came to pass. The cold is pretty impressive with a straightforward snow sounding as we get in the commahead.
  18. John1122
    That run was a serious, mid-winter type storm. It was mid 20s with heavy sleet and snow across the forum area. Backed off now, but man, that would be a sweet close to the winter season.
  19. John1122
    Gonna be so warm this week I expect lots of flowers and blooms will be coming. March is definitely coming in like a lamb.
  20. John1122
    Ended up switched to rain snow mixed for most of the night. No accumulations here. That initial burst was heavy before the rain mixed down. Above 2500 my cousins had a couple inches.
  21. John1122
    It is a burst of snow and sleet mixed. Coming down pretty good.
  22. John1122
    Been some virga moving over but deeper returns look like they are about to get here. Hopefully it's snow when it does arrive.
  23. John1122
    Probably overblown but no drought worries any time soon.
  24. John1122
    Sleet mixed now when the precip lightened up. Looks like it's struggling to come further north.
  25. John1122
    Snow falling here.
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