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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    There's a lot more civilization that way. If you can get above 3000-3500 feet over that way, you'll probably see huge totals. 12+.
  2. John1122
    JKL fires off the first Winter Storm Warnings for their KY/VA border counties. 4-6+ in their warned area. Point forecast now says 4-6 Friday night and 1-2 Saturday just across the border in Whitley Co.
  3. John1122
    NAMs slightly down again. They are basically in line with the Euro. Beast of a storm on there, down to 991 over Western NC, just less QPF than prior runs. Seems to be moving out a little faster on there. Rather than snowing up to 15-18z, it's cutting off around 12-14z.
  4. John1122
    Looks like I'm around 6-8 inches there. Will see if MRX raises me up from the 2-4 forecast now. Also, based on this, that is Winter Storm Warning criteria from at least Nashville to the mountains and probably Northern Alabama and Northern Georgia, where the criteria is less than here.
  5. John1122
    03z SREF plumes are the same or even up a bit everywhere except Tri-Cities. Biggest is 7.5-9 from the Plateau to SE KY. 6 inch mean in Nashville. 5+ in Knox. 4+ Memphis and Jackson. 4 around Huntsville. 3.75ish at Tri. 3.5ish around Chattanooga.
  6. John1122
    Even the UKIE is on-board for a big hitter. It's been pretty dry before that run.
  7. John1122
    There will likely be some enhanced banding that will just flat blast some areas. That's what happened here the 17th and caused about a 10 mile wide sliver in Eastern Scott and Western Campbell to get 12-18 inches. That band got a quick coating down and let everything else lay quickly.
  8. John1122
    Another of the hi-res mods.
  9. John1122
    Looking upstream, Tulsa fell nearly 30 degrees in a few hours on 25-35mph N winds.
  10. John1122
    Because of the layout of the state it rarely ever verifies but this looks like the best shot in a while.
  11. John1122
    That's the best part of the system to me. The cold air is abundant and it grows colder as the system unfolds.
  12. John1122
    0z Hi-Res FV3
  13. John1122
    It had to back off that 18z run that threw up a 26 inch amount around Frozenhead/Cross Mtn. That run was good and reasonable.
  14. John1122
    75 in that area will be awful while it's snowing. But the hotel is about 500 feet off it. There's a couple of restaurants and a gas station there. They had about a foot from the Jan 17th system.
  15. John1122
    Crossville or Exit 141 here in Campbell County if you can get a hotel room there.
  16. John1122
    That Rgem run would be an all time winter storm for any month of the year. As I've said a few times, those are more likely to happen in March than any other month.
  17. John1122
    I think that may be the biggest run over the biggest area of any model yet. 9 in Knoxville, Murfreesboro and Chattanooga is crazy.
  18. John1122
    Kablooey!
  19. John1122
    The RGEM looks...robust.
  20. John1122
    Those 18z runs were just crazy. I am not surprised it backed down off of them. Everything still looks pretty solid.
  21. John1122
    The 18z suite was into the tequila. 0z is sobering up a little. My 20+ on the 18z 3k is more around 6 on the 0z.
  22. John1122
    It changed over faster on the HRRR too.
  23. John1122
    Visual of the 21z SREF.
  24. John1122
    18z HRRR 00z HRRR
  25. John1122
    Basically followed the SREF plumes. Up over the Plateau area and Mid Tn, and around the same over the East Valley. Looks like more snow out west vs 18z as well.
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