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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    The 09z RAP is great for the warned areas in Middle and East Tennessee and it also hits all of NE TN and SWVa with 5+.
  2. John1122
    No backing down from the 06z GFS. It's about 2x the MRX snow map.
  3. John1122
    This was on the MRX site in 2016. I remembered putting it in the historical winter thread so I could find it easily. Glad you found that new version.
  4. John1122
    That must have changed recently.
  5. John1122
    Point forecast for MBY
  6. John1122
    No, the criteria is generally always the same in each CWA. It's different in Georgia vs Chattanooga but usually the same for all of MRX's area.
  7. John1122
    Definitely not common to see Chattanooga in a Winter Storm Warning an NE Tn not.
  8. John1122
    My forecast updated to now 4-6 tonight and 1-2 Saturday and looks like all but maybe Tri-Cities/SWVA area is now under a WSW. Looks like the downslope/snowhole is being considered there and it's a WWA.
  9. John1122
    Down to 33 degrees here, I'd like to get down to 32 or lower by sunup just to help give the ground as much advance chilling as possible.
  10. John1122
    OHX went to a warning for their prior watch areas, 3-6 for the whole block just east of Nashville. Kinda surprised they didn't include Nashville proper in the warning. OHX also noted 40mph winds possible. That's some blizzard like conditions.
  11. John1122
    There's a lot more civilization that way. If you can get above 3000-3500 feet over that way, you'll probably see huge totals. 12+.
  12. John1122
    JKL fires off the first Winter Storm Warnings for their KY/VA border counties. 4-6+ in their warned area. Point forecast now says 4-6 Friday night and 1-2 Saturday just across the border in Whitley Co.
  13. John1122
    NAMs slightly down again. They are basically in line with the Euro. Beast of a storm on there, down to 991 over Western NC, just less QPF than prior runs. Seems to be moving out a little faster on there. Rather than snowing up to 15-18z, it's cutting off around 12-14z.
  14. John1122
    Looks like I'm around 6-8 inches there. Will see if MRX raises me up from the 2-4 forecast now. Also, based on this, that is Winter Storm Warning criteria from at least Nashville to the mountains and probably Northern Alabama and Northern Georgia, where the criteria is less than here.
  15. John1122
    03z SREF plumes are the same or even up a bit everywhere except Tri-Cities. Biggest is 7.5-9 from the Plateau to SE KY. 6 inch mean in Nashville. 5+ in Knox. 4+ Memphis and Jackson. 4 around Huntsville. 3.75ish at Tri. 3.5ish around Chattanooga.
  16. John1122
    Even the UKIE is on-board for a big hitter. It's been pretty dry before that run.
  17. John1122
    There will likely be some enhanced banding that will just flat blast some areas. That's what happened here the 17th and caused about a 10 mile wide sliver in Eastern Scott and Western Campbell to get 12-18 inches. That band got a quick coating down and let everything else lay quickly.
  18. John1122
    Another of the hi-res mods.
  19. John1122
    Looking upstream, Tulsa fell nearly 30 degrees in a few hours on 25-35mph N winds.
  20. John1122
    Because of the layout of the state it rarely ever verifies but this looks like the best shot in a while.
  21. John1122
    That's the best part of the system to me. The cold air is abundant and it grows colder as the system unfolds.
  22. John1122
    0z Hi-Res FV3
  23. John1122
    It had to back off that 18z run that threw up a 26 inch amount around Frozenhead/Cross Mtn. That run was good and reasonable.
  24. John1122
    75 in that area will be awful while it's snowing. But the hotel is about 500 feet off it. There's a couple of restaurants and a gas station there. They had about a foot from the Jan 17th system.
  25. John1122
    Crossville or Exit 141 here in Campbell County if you can get a hotel room there.
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