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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. Always like to save these to look back on later. Looks like it's coming down decently down in LaFollette.
  2. Not sure if Holston is awake but it looks like it's in his area as well.
  3. Still pretty decent snow going on back home. Looks like it's affecting traffic on 75 at this point. Been good returns for the last two hours or so on radar. The JiC index strikes again.
  4. Reports from the home front of a decent snow shower rolling through. Around 45 here in Hixon.
  5. It was cloudy and around 44 when I left the house at 1 for Chattanooga, it's 60 and mostly sunny here in Hixson now.
  6. The GFS is back on board. The JiC (John in Chattanooga) correlation is still strong. I think models are flopping because I have to go to an event Friday night, which is normally the day I'd head to Nooga, so I have to wait til Saturday to go.
  7. The cliff sides here still have heavy ice on them. It was in the 10s just three nights ago and lows have been in the low 20s the last two.
  8. This reminds me of a storm from Feb 2014 that just was all over the place on models. The GFS and Euro could never agree. It kept showing a late bloomer in the Gulf that ended up going up the Eastern Seaboard but too far East for most of us. As late as 24 hours out models were showing between 1 inch and 1 foot across the area.
  9. Very nice for Eastern areas. We need some consistency from modeling before I can buy in too much though.
  10. Was just coming here to post this. That's an East Tennessee, SEKY, SWVA classic storm right there. We had one similar a few years ago that dropped 5-8 inches across the area.
  11. 06z GFS wasn't there yet but it took a big step NW with its precip shield.
  12. The Euro tired to make another go at it that time. Big storm for the mountains and North Carolina, very close for a lot of East Tennessee.
  13. GFS now has a Gulf low but it may slip east of here, another one in the chamber over the southwest, will have to see where it goes.
  14. May not amount to anything but the energy from the 18z yesterday over Western Montana/Idaho is back this run.
  15. The GFS goes from tumbleweed drought conditions for 10 days to biblical flooding from 11-15. I have my doubts about either solution. Not sure why the energy it and the Euro saw dropping down the front range that phased into the big weekend storm just went "poof" overnight.
  16. The Euro got 4-6 for your area. Hopefully these solutions hold. The GFS has had it for a while but was on an island.
  17. I'm going to Chattanooga for my yearly Super Bowl trip to my brother's house. So lock in the storm next weekend.
  18. Those last two runs of the Euro/GFS are what winter storm dreams are made of across the Valley region.
  19. 06z is a clipper parade that skirts the area. Shows rain at 138 on the map on Pivotal but the soundings are solidly in the snow indication even at that hour. Column is sub freezing all the way to the surface and it's fairly steep lapse rates too. Another clipper rolls in about 24-30 hours later. It moves almost W to E once it gets to Missouri or that area. Shows rain in Kentucky and clips the Plateau and NE areas with snow. Soundings under the model depicted rain are solidly in the snow category though. Most modeling outside the GFS is trying the bone dry approach. The GFS is merely mostly dry.
  20. Still snowing, about 1/4th inch to 1/2 inch. With this little bit of snow I only managed about 36 hours in the last few weeks without at least some snow on the ground.
  21. Steady light snow now. Dusting on raised surfaces.
  22. It's a nice little snow shower when you're in them.
  23. Pretty good snow shower rolling though right now. That classic foggy look along the ridges above me.
  24. Very brief freezing drizzle here. The HRRR handled it much better than any other model imby, unless that bit of moisture out toward Nashville does something, which I doubt. Unlike many events like this, sub freezing cold was much slower to arrive than predicted. The models showing .2 or .3 zr here had 20s rushing in. Instead it's 31.8.
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