So as the HC expands north (CC)do you think it’ll eventually put E NE in the trade wind belt in the summer? Says the weather geek looking for his first landfalling TC from the *east* like in the Caribbean...Probably still 50 years or so from that happening.
It’s concerning however that a cold pool still develops N of AK at the end of the runs. Been there for several runs now. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
Also on July 31, 1976, the upper reaches of Big Thompson Canyon, Colorado got 12” in about 4 hours from a thunderstorm that just went nowhere during that whole time. Resulted in a devastating flood downstream. .
sometimes those are positive strikes from the anvil, much more powerful and deadly than the more usual negative CG strikes (although anvil strikes are not the only way to get positive CG strikes)
curious that the NAO forecast isn't so extreme...especially considering Dennis (915 mb tomorrow approaching Iceland-wtf) and the general pressure field hanging around there until Sunday
Taal is a tropical volcano. Normally in such a case we'd have 8-12 months of tendency toward +NAO following the eruption, followed by colder. We had the same thing from June 1991 - March 1992 after Pinatubo (in almost the same region) erupted.
Took Pinatubo to do that. The snow we got in April 92 and the summer without a 90F at BOS we’re a result of that event, and followed 9 months of the obligatory NAO+ that accompanies a tropical volcanic eruption. .
0.5° per decade is the current rate I see most often quoted. So 200 years is 10° farther north or 600 n mi. Nova Scotia would be the new secondary cyclogenesis point in miller B's and we play the role that Hilton Head, SC plays now.