MJOatleast7

So...will this veer NW to Greenland and flash-melt a billion tons of ice in one day, like in 2019?

I mean, 35C at 850 has been in the higher country in the western parts of all those states but not at the lower elev's farther east. There we can better apply the 15-16C add-on to 850s rule for extrapolating to the surface and we get Khorramshahr oilfield heat

Armageddon and Deep Impact combined as one. .

November 2001 was the Leonid meteor storm. One every several seconds just before dawn…in fact, some visible even in morning twilight, Several of us from the Museum of Science Planetarium (where Ibstill work) drove to the top of Pack Monadnock to see it. There were also sub-storm (but much more active than typical Leonid activity) showers in Nov. 1999 and 2000. There were end-of the world calibre storms from the Leonids also in 1833 and 1897. .

Lower min temps as well as lower dew points sometimes too? .

Well, Harv just gave his last regular cast…He expressed such gratitude and appreciation for everyone. .

So Jason Alexander.

Hopefully it won't be like Sunday, August 17, 1969 at a certain music festival...

Not that it'll accumulate on anything not already covered. Sun angle FTW

By any chance was one of his children named Shira? .

Hmm...HC expansion built-in?

ORH jack?

Ray jack? Dare we hope?

Me too...living inside 128 with all the cars and trucks blackening the snow 10 minutes after it falls...at that point I would rather put it out of its misery.

I believe it was the relatively large amount of sulfur dioxide released by Pinatubo, which when it crystallizes in the upper atmosphere is light-colored and reflects back a lot of the sunlight. Hunga Tonga had a relatively ow proportion of SO2 in its plume, which is why it's probably NBD in its effects on climate.

Even in the lackluster '80s, weren't the Januarys of '86 and '87 both prolific (BOS around 24" both years)? Those helped mitigate the general ratter-ness going on then

FWIW, this eruption released less ash and SO2 than even St. Helens in 1980, let alone Pinatubo in 1991. Its effect on the climate is probably far less that we saw in 1992 with Pinatubo. Also, volcanoes that erupt in the tropics (e.g. Tonga) tend to result in +NAOs and warming, at least for the first 9 months or so, before any cooling sets in. That said, I'm not sure what difference a winter-erupting volcano would make, as opposed to the summer eruption of Pinatubo, whose cooling was not apparent here until the following March.

Like the drunk guy in the Wedding Singer.

One bit of solace...next week's rainer to Quebec City now shows ice just north of LCI. A lot colder.

You and Cantore can room together.

Winter’s back will break, according to Old Farmer’s Almanac (on Feb. 18) of course, that requires winter to actually HAVE a backbone in the first place…

Yeah, about 9 months of +AO resulted from that. IIRC, Then it flipped suddenly in March of 1992. BOS actually got more snow that season AFTER the vernal equinox than before. Then we hit the bonanza winters of 92-93, 93-94 and 95-96. two things, though: Pinatubo was a much larger eruption than this one in terms of plume altitude and volume ejected (unless we get subsequent eruptions) and I’m not sure if even a larger eruption would be enough to flip the ENSO state.

Ash and SO2 eventually have a net cooling effect, but it’s a tropical volcano, which tends to give us 9-12 months of +NAO at the beginning. Also don’t know how much particulates have been ejected. Will also depend on any future eruptions, obviously.