LP08
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Everything posted by LP08
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Woof. that's a pretty dry start
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Expected the warm nose, not the crappy radar but it is what it is.
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I woke up hoping for the 1-2 hours of snow but saw the radar that we missed the initial thump of precip that went way north of us. Ill be interested if we make it to the 0.8 QPF that basically all models had us at but I won't hold my breath.
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Still hope the precip comes to fruition. Would still be fun!
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Just through 15z tomorrow. Certainly colder than its brother.
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Para. has .7" qpf through 15z...and. the column is good.
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Looks like 3-5" before the column goes to crap on the GFS. Don't hate it
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So close. Got to imagine its more than just heavy sleet. Fun morning ahead.
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Hope it’s right. Pounding at 10 am riding the line.
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10am has a warm nose at 850. I’m sure it’s rate dependent.
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Probably too much HRRRRRRR talk but this is the worst sounding for the initial storm and it is after all the goods have moved through. To my weenie eyes, its below freezing or right at zero all the way up for the duration. The first sounding is niiice.
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I believe the Bob Chillian term is Snow missiles, white asteroids.
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I’m at the Meme point of the storm...
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Looks about 0.25" inches drier than 6z for the DC area.
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6z Euro precip (don't think it ever got posted) prior to the 12z run.
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Still stings a bit to potentially get over an inch of frozen for so little snow, haha.
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Just coming to post this. Here is the sounding at 27. If its off a half a degree either way could mean an extra inch or two and nothing but sleet.
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I've been saying to friends that 2-4 Snow/Sleet and then glacier with freezing drizzle afterwards. They are on me now with the warning text of 3-6 but im holding strong here in the Arlington/DC area.
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Trajectory of the precip from the SW on the 3k was better as well. It just doesn't send as much through the area before the column issues arise. 6z had it into PA.
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Seems like a precip issue to me than a "warmer" issue. Its not nearly as wet through 15z as the 12k. 700 winds looked to have backed off quite a bit as well compared to 6z. has about half the precip as the 3k has during the time when the column is supportive.
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Total precip while the column supports Snow-ish for us close in...Better North and West.
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Holding on for dear life. Ill take it.
