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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. LP08
    They improve some once precip starts but every run temps creep up a little. Still a significant storm.
  2. LP08
    Frustating. Look at the surface ( I know i know extended range) 31 in DC with precip approaching.
  3. LP08
    It gets snow to here. Maybe .3 to .4 on the precip maps.
  4. LP08
    Totally agree, but again looking at the surface temps for us near the cities, each run is bumping a degree or two. Now its 29 or 30 with precip in the area. We've moved away from the mid to upper 20's look (at least on the Nam). Slow trend all season has been to warm the surface and decrease the precip. That's all I'm saying.
  5. LP08
    Nam seems very uneventful for the Saturday wave now. Very little precip north of EZF.
  6. LP08
    Was just talking to a buddy about this. When does Saturday go from 28 and sleet and Ice to 31-32 non event for us close into DC metro?
  7. LP08
    Flakes in N Arlington!
  8. LP08
    Of all the things, moderate rain wasn’t on my list of worries for this stretch of weather.
  9. LP08
    Still flakes in N Arlington and 33.
  10. LP08
    It’s certainly white up here. Successfully dusted.
  11. LP08
    Same here probably pretty close to you. Was 42/31 and 34/33.
  12. LP08
    Nam is a snowstorm i81 and west for sat/sun.
  13. LP08
    Sure hope my temp sensor is running high. 42/31 for a sweet wetbulb of 36
  14. LP08
    0.25 total precip in DC through 12z Friday. and even worse the further south you go. GFS has been steadfast on central VA precip hole.
  15. LP08
    Something that I've learned/but don't practice enough is that the NAM/3k are very good are finding warm noses throughout the column. The almost always end up slightly further north than even what they show. RGEM now shows the warm nose at 12z for us in DC area.
  16. LP08
    For the Saturday storm Nam is mighty close to starting as snow for a lot of people, and colder than other guidance. I know nam at range but it seems to be sniffing the warm nose out for tonight.
  17. LP08
    It's frustrating honestly. I know it was on an Island but no terribly so. The euro and EPS were honking pretty loud for an event at 90 hours! In years past, that seemed to be a great spot. What good is the EPS if at 90 hours, showing a max precip stripe through the area with buffer on both sides only to completely go the other way only 24hrs later. I know i know, blend everything but frustrating, especially for us near and south of DC.
  18. LP08
    At this rate, you might need to borrow some of "Dan the Mans" tears to melt your snow up there .
  19. LP08
    3k is no good for the DC area (sorry for the focus there). Clicking through soundings it never drops below 34 and has an even more pronounced warm nose further up.
  20. LP08
    Nam wetter but its ice even into MD.
  21. LP08
    24 hours on the euro total precip. To state the obvious, tonight has turned into the main event and sadly for central va, it’s going the wrong way.
  22. LP08
    This is just west of dc tonight on the nam. This doesn’t seem like an overwhelming warm nose to me on the sounding so maybe just some crappy flakes instead of sleet?
  23. LP08
    If my memory serves me, these did well with our last storm.
  24. LP08
    It’s better west but ever the cities crash and flip to snow.
  25. LP08
    162 is pretty sweet
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