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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. LP08
    The gfs certainly doesn’t look like DTs map that’s for sure. Zero snow south of EZF.
  2. LP08
    Gfs has 0.15 in dc through 1pm Thursday. That, won’t get it done for wave 1
  3. LP08
    Definite expanse of the total precip on the northern edge. Hard to tell but maybe 0.3 from wave 2 up to dc.
  4. LP08
    It’s a slight bump but a bump north.
  5. LP08
    Slightly better heights with less suppression over the NE. Wave 2 looks like it will be a little bit north to my eyes.
  6. LP08
    I suppose this could be overcome with rates. It’s not a terribly large warm layer.
  7. LP08
    Let’s hope that warm nose is wrong for the dc area folks. Certainly wetter fist wave.
  8. LP08
    Quicker onset tomorrow evening. Warm nose pushing north to dc at 27.
  9. LP08
    It’s early and subtle but through 21, Nam is less suppressive than 18z.
  10. LP08
    I think I’ve read somewhere that storm vista snow maps count everything falling at 32 and below snow so it catches a ton of sleet in those maps.
  11. LP08
    I’ve never seen the icon ever put that much snow over the region.
  12. LP08
    EPS total qpf. Wetter than the OP but drier than 6z.
  13. LP08
    That central VA qpf on the GFS is wild compared to everything else.
  14. LP08
    and 36 in the next and 48 after. That would be an impressive 12 hours to go from 20 to 48.
  15. LP08
    Just coming to post this. Mid to upper 20s.
  16. LP08
  17. LP08
    Euro by far the coldest it seems of all models. Very little ice in va.
  18. LP08
    I did say "basically". It's all good!
  19. LP08
    Kinda splitting hairs here. I think you'd do 6 with over .5 precip. I didn't use the snow map but I will work on my map reading in the future.
  20. LP08
    UKIE shows some snow for Sunday as well.
  21. LP08
    UKIE is a forum wide pleaser. Basically 6-10 from Richmond to the mason Dixon line.
  22. LP08
    This should cover both waves.
  23. LP08
    GEFS has a quicker transfer than 6z. Close to getting it done for sunday. As of now, its mostly mix but there are a few that transfer quick enough for snow.
  24. LP08
    Has the primary holding on until Canada. Basically two SLPs. Starts transferring in a good spot but the other never dies.
  25. LP08
    Just going by the surface, this is all frozen EZF north for the run. And a lot of it is Sub 28 degrees.
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