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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. LP08
    ULL hanging out a little further west through 48. Nice 850 line push south.
  2. LP08
    Lower heights through 36 on the NAM. ULL over SE Canada pressing a bit more.
  3. LP08
    Yes, it was a joke. Apologies for banter.
  4. LP08
    Tongue in cheek comment. It seemed like we spent 2 years talking about that last storm tucking.
  5. LP08
    When is it appropriate to start talking about tucking? Lol Another nice move with a quicker primary transfer to the coast.
  6. LP08
    PSU is going to have another nice GIF trend for the EPS snowfall mean from 0z....
  7. LP08
    Hasn’t failed us yet! Locked and loaded.
  8. LP08
    Using this again...
  9. LP08
    Vort north of New England slightly west, compressing the flow better in the east coast.
  10. LP08
    Ehhh I’m no superstitious per se. we fail because we suck not because of a thread.
  11. LP08
    Maybe we are double jinxing it by whining about it for three pages instead of just starting one. Inquiring minds would like to know.
  12. LP08
    If we added up the ensemble mean snow maps from day three -four all year we’d be over 30” lol.
  13. LP08
    12z GEFS mean is another tick south compared to 6z. These are contaminated with sleet but the max stripe shifted south. Supports a 3-6” thump to sleet.
  14. LP08
    Problem is digital snow maps. I’m guilty too but trying to get better. I think realistically us closer in right now is 1-3/2-4” to sleet then slop. As I have seen and you stated, warm layers race quicker than progged. The only thing, which all guidance agrees on, is the surface being mid 20s right now. If we see it creep up in the next few days (which past storms have to some degree) then we will know where this is headed but I’m optimistic now on a dynamic even that starts as snow.
  15. LP08
    Icon looks the same but no way of knowing with out all the layers. Still is all frozen for the majority here.
  16. LP08
    Definitely another tick in the good direction from the euro. Colder and snowier front end.
  17. LP08
    I suppose the one thing that's consistent so far on guidance is the surface is frigid. Don't need rates to overcome 33-35 at the surface. I would take a 6hr dynamic system of all types of precip at 28-30 degrees. 1-5" of snow/sleet would be fun.
  18. LP08
    Para will have a better low track as well. Should avoid too much rain.
  19. LP08
    I dont think anyone cares about this storm. Nobody posting It was much better than 18z, at least the thump part.
  20. LP08
    Definitely snowier/sleetier on the front side before the flip to rain. 6" line touches the northwestern portion of the district.
  21. LP08
    Heavy rain post 96 lol for the cities.
  22. LP08
    Looks like heavy thump to dry slot through 90
  23. LP08
    Heavy heavy at 87. 850s south of DC still. No soundings yet.
  24. LP08
    Snow at 81.
  25. LP08
    GFS a tick colder at 850 through 78. Vort north of NE hanging west a little more.
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