LP08
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Everything posted by LP08
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ICON keeps the follow up wave, just a little to far south for next week. Seems like all guidance so far has some semblance of a storm after the front clears. Results to be determined.
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GFS again with a good look on the follow up wave next week
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ICON should have a nice thump as well for the Northern and western crowd.
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Agreed. Too much of a good thing I suppose. The temp anomalies show the center of the cold still over the Midwest. I bet our opportunities would come from some sort of relaxation of that as we move forward in time. The last couple of frames do try and stretch it E-W as the war continues to move into the NAO region.
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Cold shouldn't be an issue moving forward with that look, lol.
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12z eps building the -EPO to -NAO bridge around the 25th now. Should be busy in here starting sometime next week
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Lol I hadn’t even seen the cmc yet. Should have prefaced 0z at 6z respectively
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Right off OBX at 168. So we have the FV3, CMC, and GFS now showing the follow up idea. What could go wrong
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Looks like the GFS is in the follow up idea camp at 12z today.
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Maybe some light stuff but not anything like the ICON.
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I wouldn't base a forecast off of it if that's what your asking, especially since its on its own with both the size of the initial thump and with the wraparound. GFS has been warmer west then all other guidance. UKMET is closest with the EURO in-between the two camps.
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Now wouldn't this be sumthin'
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Nice thump on the ICON for the Northern and Western Crew. With limited maps, I'm sure some would be sleet and not all snow but its a nice hit.
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Still only are 0.5-1.5" for most. Should freshen everything up though for everyone.
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12z NAM Shows snow breaking out at 0z tonight. Looks a little more juiced than 06z.
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Miller bs can work in severe blocks but this is not how we want to make our money Agreed. But if we can get the advertised look with blocking up top its not a shutout pattern.
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You can really see that scanning through the snowfall maps from day 11-15 on the EPS. Lots of tracks that look like they originate in Canada and slide down the western ridge as they move east as the SS is pushed south. Could be a miller b type patter with some blocking showing signs of life just after day 10. The hope would be as the cold relaxes but with the block in tact post day 15, that they could meet up near us.
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You’ve chosen to ignore the GFS. Options
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Good front end thump for most as well.
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Everyone stays in the 30's or lower on the ICON. Man that is close. Very little stream interaction this run until late.
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Maybe a couple hours slower but still looks good. Gets better though the end of the run.
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EURO at 96. Western area of the forum look to never go above freezing, potential for some backside snow.
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ICE Storm for the Winchester crew though 90 on the Euro
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That's what I see. The NS was a little out in front compared to 0z and "leaving behind" the SS. A phase does us no good.
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Ridge on the west coast is like 200 miles further east than the GFS. That’s the change we need to see on the globals
