LP08
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Everything posted by LP08
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Why does Kyle Shannahan throw on the 2nd and 5 up 20-17? He’s a great coach but outsmarts himself in the biggest games.
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It’s got quite a bit to go. ICON had a very similar progression to the Euro. keep watching up in NE for lowering heights near the 50/50 region.
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GFS might try and get tricky too. Much lower heights in the NE. edit: not quite but it’s all we got going forward
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The ridging in the NE causes the storm to ridge west of us and pump in warm air. Of course right after I posted this the Euro kept heights lower with next weeks ocean storm. If we could relax some of that ridging, then there might be a chance.
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I agree that it looks good at that specific moment, but the damage to temps has already been done. I'm usually as optimistic as anyone on here, but with the storm starting so far west, temps have no chance to recover in time even once it transfers to the coastal.
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Starting to get an uneasy feeling about the remainder of January. This look looks awfully familiar. More troughs on the west coast and not even a hint of help on the Atlantic side. Let's hope the GEFS/GEPS are correct for the period after day ten but the EPS has been degrading for the last several runs.
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Through 114, Euro is north of 0z. Its stronger so it increases the ridging out ahead of it.
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Euro is quite a bit stronger than the GFS.. ~ 6 mbs in the plains.
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I'm not showme, but the primary holds on until well north of us before beginning to transfer south of Boston. But again as everyone else said, much better run.
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850's still south of Fredericksburg at 18z Sat. Can't see the other levels but its definitely frozen.
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12z GFS Slower but also further south with the track of the low. High in a great place. Better than 6z.
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To echo others....EPS looks really nice with some big storm potential. I see three distinct windows with quite a few hits.
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Very nice uptick (as others have said for next weekend from the eps. Also showing the next two “threats”.
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ICON at 18z has the best track for next weeks “event”. Temps are less than desirable but at least out west it’s a good run.
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I know the weeklies suck but I just browsed through them. Not good. Maybe some signs of some -epo help after week three but absolutely no help in the artic. If this is the look in mid February....yikes.
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The door is cracked for Jan 8th on the EPS, granted it will require quite a bit of luck to time the PNA ridge to get a favorable outcome.
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Definitely not transient as it locks in basically right after our brief window next week. I am still optimistic that we can salvage some kind of winter stretch once we break the massive +ao/nao combo. Hopefully some signs start showing up in the next week or so.
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Definitely not much to sugar coat in the long range. After about a 4 day window of below normal temps next week, about as dismal a pattern showing up on both the EPS and GEFS (I know I am not saying much different than most have been). Let's hope something works out next week. EPS has a smattering of hits but the mean is mostly skewed by a couple bigger storms.
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EPS has an ok signal for the same general time frame.
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TPV is parked over Greenland.
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Definitely a gradient look with anything that is overly organized will cut. Maybe we could sneak a wave under the region before the SE ridge returns.
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If the day 8-10 deal doesn't work out, looks like day 12 or day 15 has a chance undercutting that ridge out west
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Mid-Atlantic winter 2019-20 snowfall contest
LP08 replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
BWI: 22.8 DCA: 17.6 IAD: 26.4 RIC:12.7 Tiebreaker (SBY): 9.7" -
BWI: 10/28 DCA: 11/15 IAD: 10/20 RIC: 11/22 Tiebreaker: 7.3"
