LP08
-
Posts
3,276 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by LP08
-
Down to 38 in N Arlington and some snow mixing in
-
41° here. Was hoping for some fun before the rain but it’s looking increasingly less likely.
-
12z icon is a smidge stronger so it has the rain snow line north of the cities after some initial slop. Will obviously be a nowcast thing where it sets up but this is much more fun to track than the Rainer that was on all guidance a few days ago. Snow falling at anytime is a win for me at least.
-
Yeah. What we down here are wishing for screws up the northern crew. I still think it’s going to be somewhere between the GFS and Euro in regards to track and strength (shocker I know) which should put your area and throughout most of md west of 95 in line for a good event.
-
Seems the biggest difference between them and the good globals that get snow to us are low strength. Just apply the over amping of Nams at range bias and we are golden (so to speak)
-
Heights are lower but the storm is a smidge stronger so it might be a wash. Nice to start as snow though for everyone north of EZF.
-
Flatter through 42 as well.
-
Includes tonight as well
-
It hinges on the coastal tonight/tomorrow in the NE. GFS/ICON were leading the way in having that thing bomb out and as a result it wouldn't leave enough room for this storm to amplify as much leading to a flatter/snowier solution for us. Euro has been the weakest (relative term) with the coastal tonight so it has shown a further North and stronger wave Sunday. I know everything isn't 1:1 but that to me seems to be what's causing the deviances in strength and track.
-
It’s razor thin but, still looks like a hit from Dc north and west. 850 bisects the city
-
Doesn't quite get to the ICON/GFS solution but its a little bit of an improvement NW.
-
Through 45, the 12z Nam is slightly flatter. The southern SW is a hair slower allowing the ULL in Canada to compress heights in front. Shall see how it ends up.
-
6+ from EZF to the M/D.
-
850 line still near EZF at 75.
-
It’s a hit. Wow
-
Maybe tonight’s the night when we finally don’t trend the wrong direction. Lol
-
Trusting those silly NE forum dudes. The Southern wave was quite a bit flatter so it didn’t gain latitude even with higher heights along the east coast.
-
@yoda check out the 0z ICON. See the Vort over the lakes at 36? It’s not going to phase into the Saturday storm and as a result I’d expect the Sunday one to come north from 18z
-
ICON is a big hit into the cities.
-
Some lightning strikes showing up on RadarScope in that
-
I think the sleet line “racing north” is a little misguided. It’s merely following the light rates at the south of the precip shield. Keep the rates and everything looks on target to keep snow until 16-17z for dc and 18z for Baltimore
-
Heavy snow leaving DC. Good luck everyone!
-
Was borderline heavy snow when I left the house in N Arlington at 6. On my way to union station to head to Philly. Sooooo, how much for Philly?
-
Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
LP08 replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
-
10” on the nose from three places on the deck. I didn’t wipe so maybe some compaction but double digits!!
