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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. I'm sure this has been hashed out numerous times, but was considering a change in the model page I subscribe too. I had weather models last year and had many likes and dislikes with it. Was thinking about storm vista this year but haven't been able to explore that site so I was curious if others used it and liked it.
  2. I went there last weekend. Pretty nice place. The "Silk" stout is a bruiser but it is quite delicious. Doesn't necessarily drink like a 12%.
  3. BWI: 10/28 DCA: 11/15 IAD: 10/20 RIC: 11/22 Tiebreaker: 7.3"
  4. Tightening up a bit on the cell west of Columbia MD.
  5. Scary situation just to the north side of Scranton. Lots of my wife’s family is there and a couplet moved just north of them. Whew.
  6. Down to 35 from 42 at 1130. Rain/Sleet mix in N Arlington. Good luck to the North crew.
  7. Down to 38 in N Arlington and some snow mixing in
  8. 41° here. Was hoping for some fun before the rain but it’s looking increasingly less likely.
  9. 12z icon is a smidge stronger so it has the rain snow line north of the cities after some initial slop. Will obviously be a nowcast thing where it sets up but this is much more fun to track than the Rainer that was on all guidance a few days ago. Snow falling at anytime is a win for me at least.
  10. Yeah. What we down here are wishing for screws up the northern crew. I still think it’s going to be somewhere between the GFS and Euro in regards to track and strength (shocker I know) which should put your area and throughout most of md west of 95 in line for a good event.
  11. Seems the biggest difference between them and the good globals that get snow to us are low strength. Just apply the over amping of Nams at range bias and we are golden (so to speak)
  12. Heights are lower but the storm is a smidge stronger so it might be a wash. Nice to start as snow though for everyone north of EZF.
  13. It hinges on the coastal tonight/tomorrow in the NE. GFS/ICON were leading the way in having that thing bomb out and as a result it wouldn't leave enough room for this storm to amplify as much leading to a flatter/snowier solution for us. Euro has been the weakest (relative term) with the coastal tonight so it has shown a further North and stronger wave Sunday. I know everything isn't 1:1 but that to me seems to be what's causing the deviances in strength and track.
  14. It’s razor thin but, still looks like a hit from Dc north and west. 850 bisects the city
  15. Doesn't quite get to the ICON/GFS solution but its a little bit of an improvement NW.
  16. Through 45, the 12z Nam is slightly flatter. The southern SW is a hair slower allowing the ULL in Canada to compress heights in front. Shall see how it ends up.
  17. Maybe tonight’s the night when we finally don’t trend the wrong direction. Lol
  18. Trusting those silly NE forum dudes. The Southern wave was quite a bit flatter so it didn’t gain latitude even with higher heights along the east coast.
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