LP08
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Everything posted by LP08
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12z Euro into Wilmington, NC. Not much rain for the Saturday Night - Sunday morning deal but better trajectory for impacts from Imelda.
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Crazy part is that's Monday! Went from no storm at all at 12z yesterday to a Cat 1-2 landfall coming in 3.5 -4 days. I don't envy forecasters. What a very complex and tricky set up with the different interactions. I know the forecast discussions have been harping it but for the general population, could be quite a shock to wake up to hurricane watches potentially Saturday morning.
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Pretty cool trends...unfortunately gets stuck in SC
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12z GFS shows a weaker Umberto and stronger future Imelda through 72. Has more rain Saturday Night into Sunday than 6z...
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6z EURO is very wet Saturday afternoon into the overnight.
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0z euro would up the fun meter vs the last several months.
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Euro with 2-3" of rain through Monday. GFS less than 1"
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GFS says what rain? Develops 93L and recurves and does very little with 94L
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ICON as well now.
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Not a Bears fan but read somewhere this morning that when he is pressured and starts to run, he doesn't look like he has control of his arms and legs. Just complete panic and I kinda laughed thinking back at watching it, lol. Commanders are so lucky JD5 was there at 2.
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Just an insane amount of lightning over here in Arlington. Non stop.
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One of the better couplets of the day..
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That one south of La Plata looks close..probably needs a warning soon
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Be easier to do just one color, say 25% and say 0-10
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Not as strong with the SS and little more disconnected from the NS…it’s time
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Minor positive changes which should help Richmond and our southern friends.
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They should run it still on some black site just for us.
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Icon was a nice bounce north and stronger for our Richmond peeps.
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Scrolling through…at 42, NAM is the ONLY model that keeps any semblance of the southern stream SW.
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Positive changes out west with the GFS. Probably won’t mean much up here but for our Richmond friends.
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Nam and euro at H5. Nam keeps the SS sw more in tact and euro washes it out east.
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Nam keeps the SS sw in tact while the euro completely washes it out. That’s really the only difference I can tell.
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Someone post the NAM clown. Kuchera has the 6 line like 12 miles from dc.
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NAM had better interaction out west early on with the streams.
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Also. As I’ve been here a long time and definitely have grown up more. Still stings but I don’t try and bring everyone else down with rapid fire posts of despair. I just go punt furry creatures. ps. Nam better
