I could see it start out 8-1 and if we get into a consolidated CCB, we have historically done ok in those with 12-1 or so. PSU and Mappy Land will exceed that. IF it happens at all.
Based on soundings (yes I'm bored and looking at UKIE soundings), its snow from HR126 and later. Such a shallow warm nose and the surface is 33-34 to start
If we are under the ccb if this storm even exits on Sunday, I’m not worried about ground temps. We would have better ratios than that super cold storm in January.