The initial coastal precip as its starting to strengthen on basically all foreign models is very different vs the USA. No major bands rotate and almost all of them require the inverted Trof to hit. Just snizzle on most then hope and pray
Gotta think that some sort of mid level band would be further west than the main fronto one along the Delmarva. Happens almost every time with a coastal
Anyone know how to block the gfs? My son keeps telling everyone we are getting 15+ this weekend and I’m trying really hard to tone down the expectations haha
Temps in this scenario are all driven by rates/coastal. If we miss the main coastal, wherever the IVT sets up is going to be big winners and losers. Under it? 31/32 and pounding, edge of it? 34/35 and snizzle. It wouldn’t be a broad accumulation.