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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. Yeah. It deepens from 1010 to 994 and barely any precip makes it across the bay.
  2. The initial coastal precip as its starting to strengthen on basically all foreign models is very different vs the USA. No major bands rotate and almost all of them require the inverted Trof to hit. Just snizzle on most then hope and pray
  3. If only we had just a better airmass and not pac puke all week.
  4. It’s not a great model but the fv3 is a beatdown and still going at 60
  5. I’ll be honest….we here near dc need to wait for nighttime for any real shot.
  6. It’s maybe not as good as the 12k but the majority of our accumulation is post 57. Coastal portion is kinda just starting.
  7. Houston’s lovely if you are love big traffic and interstates ❤️
  8. Gotta think that some sort of mid level band would be further west than the main fronto one along the Delmarva. Happens almost every time with a coastal
  9. At 42. Trough not quite as sharp as 6z. Coastal might climb a bit before capture?
  10. Anyone know how to block the gfs? My son keeps telling everyone we are getting 15+ this weekend and I’m trying really hard to tone down the expectations haha
  11. Temps in this scenario are all driven by rates/coastal. If we miss the main coastal, wherever the IVT sets up is going to be big winners and losers. Under it? 31/32 and pounding, edge of it? 34/35 and snizzle. It wouldn’t be a broad accumulation.
  12. Ukie looks quite a bit different at 33. More interaction between the NS and ss
  13. The Norlun was post 84 with the closed h5 low going across the Va/nc border
  14. Sharper Trof and a little more stream interaction on the NAM through 39
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