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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. GFS a tick colder at 850 through 78. Vort north of NE hanging west a little more.
  2. Damn the ICON is cold at 90 with a ton a precip in the area.
  3. For sure. Hopefully the NW crew really cashes in for once. In all seriousness, trends are good for at least some frozen for all before whatever mess follows.
  4. EPS further souther and easter. Not a terrible look.
  5. Sleet and needle flakes. Vis is dropping off pretty good
  6. Definitely sleety/and some snow grains here in Arlington too
  7. Historic ya’ll. Tune your shovels lol
  8. More sleet than ZR now in Arlington. Woooooooo.
  9. Do you think also that it’s raining to hard to get the accrual on everything? I never expected the roads to be bad but expected the trees and such to be icier.
  10. Of course we are going to max on precip today in and near dc. 29° and IP/ZR mix
  11. Start time on euro? Trying to forecast for a church 8-9am on the euro.
  12. And looking at soundings, it’s mostly sleet north of EZF.
  13. Looks drier and more east than 12z.
  14. I'm not smart enough to give you good answer one way or another. We have 3 events (Sat, Tues, and Thursday). Better approach is to take one by one and not worry/think to much about any until the one before it is resolved. Trend all year as been to de-amp waves and warm the boundary layer so until that changes at gametime, that's where my thinking is for the current pattern for the next 7-10 days.
  15. Still a decent ice storm for the favored spots, but near the corridor, not so much.
  16. GFS looks less icy and warmer for Tuesday... Monday storm offshore did seem stronger.
  17. GFS looks like a slight increase in precip through 36 hrs. Still pretty light and not much change from 6z. Should be pretty slick still!
  18. Where this magical suppressive cold? It’s still above freezing here. Lol
  19. I don't think i agree with the Euro part. Euro was almost entirely the 2nd wave until 1-2 days before the event. You may have gotten the same amount of snow from the 2 systems but not because the euro was right. It completely missed Wave 1 and had a much stronger wave 2 until 24-36 hours. Take a look at the qpf trends. MD areas gained QPF because of wave 1(like the other models had it) but everywhere south continually cut back.
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