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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. LP08
    12z GEFS mean is another tick south compared to 6z. These are contaminated with sleet but the max stripe shifted south. Supports a 3-6” thump to sleet.
  2. LP08
    Problem is digital snow maps. I’m guilty too but trying to get better. I think realistically us closer in right now is 1-3/2-4” to sleet then slop. As I have seen and you stated, warm layers race quicker than progged. The only thing, which all guidance agrees on, is the surface being mid 20s right now. If we see it creep up in the next few days (which past storms have to some degree) then we will know where this is headed but I’m optimistic now on a dynamic even that starts as snow.
  3. LP08
    Icon looks the same but no way of knowing with out all the layers. Still is all frozen for the majority here.
  4. LP08
    Definitely another tick in the good direction from the euro. Colder and snowier front end.
  5. LP08
    I suppose the one thing that's consistent so far on guidance is the surface is frigid. Don't need rates to overcome 33-35 at the surface. I would take a 6hr dynamic system of all types of precip at 28-30 degrees. 1-5" of snow/sleet would be fun.
  6. LP08
    Para will have a better low track as well. Should avoid too much rain.
  7. LP08
    I dont think anyone cares about this storm. Nobody posting It was much better than 18z, at least the thump part.
  8. LP08
    Definitely snowier/sleetier on the front side before the flip to rain. 6" line touches the northwestern portion of the district.
  9. LP08
    Heavy rain post 96 lol for the cities.
  10. LP08
    Looks like heavy thump to dry slot through 90
  11. LP08
    Heavy heavy at 87. 850s south of DC still. No soundings yet.
  12. LP08
    Snow at 81.
  13. LP08
    GFS a tick colder at 850 through 78. Vort north of NE hanging west a little more.
  14. LP08
    Damn the ICON is cold at 90 with a ton a precip in the area.
  15. LP08
    For sure. Hopefully the NW crew really cashes in for once. In all seriousness, trends are good for at least some frozen for all before whatever mess follows.
  16. LP08
    EPS further souther and easter. Not a terrible look.
  17. LP08
    Sleet and needle flakes. Vis is dropping off pretty good
  18. LP08
    Definitely sleety/and some snow grains here in Arlington too
  19. LP08
    Historic ya’ll. Tune your shovels lol
  20. LP08
    More sleet than ZR now in Arlington. Woooooooo.
  21. LP08
    Do you think also that it’s raining to hard to get the accrual on everything? I never expected the roads to be bad but expected the trees and such to be icier.
  22. LP08
    Of course we are going to max on precip today in and near dc. 29° and IP/ZR mix
  23. LP08
    Sleet and ZR mix. 29/22
  24. LP08
    29/21 in N Arlington.
  25. LP08
    Start time on euro? Trying to forecast for a church 8-9am on the euro.
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