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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. LP08
    Damn the ICON is cold at 90 with a ton a precip in the area.
  2. LP08
    For sure. Hopefully the NW crew really cashes in for once. In all seriousness, trends are good for at least some frozen for all before whatever mess follows.
  3. LP08
    EPS further souther and easter. Not a terrible look.
  4. LP08
    Sleet and needle flakes. Vis is dropping off pretty good
  5. LP08
    Definitely sleety/and some snow grains here in Arlington too
  6. LP08
    Historic ya’ll. Tune your shovels lol
  7. LP08
    More sleet than ZR now in Arlington. Woooooooo.
  8. LP08
    Do you think also that it’s raining to hard to get the accrual on everything? I never expected the roads to be bad but expected the trees and such to be icier.
  9. LP08
    Of course we are going to max on precip today in and near dc. 29° and IP/ZR mix
  10. LP08
    Sleet and ZR mix. 29/22
  11. LP08
    29/21 in N Arlington.
  12. LP08
    Start time on euro? Trying to forecast for a church 8-9am on the euro.
  13. LP08
    And looking at soundings, it’s mostly sleet north of EZF.
  14. LP08
    Looks drier and more east than 12z.
  15. LP08
    This is where I’m at...
  16. LP08
    I'm not smart enough to give you good answer one way or another. We have 3 events (Sat, Tues, and Thursday). Better approach is to take one by one and not worry/think to much about any until the one before it is resolved. Trend all year as been to de-amp waves and warm the boundary layer so until that changes at gametime, that's where my thinking is for the current pattern for the next 7-10 days.
  17. LP08
    Thursdays storm looks colder....that's the one!
  18. LP08
    Still a decent ice storm for the favored spots, but near the corridor, not so much.
  19. LP08
    GFS looks less icy and warmer for Tuesday... Monday storm offshore did seem stronger.
  20. LP08
    GFS looks like a slight increase in precip through 36 hrs. Still pretty light and not much change from 6z. Should be pretty slick still!
  21. LP08
  22. LP08
    Where this magical suppressive cold? It’s still above freezing here. Lol
  23. LP08
    I don't think i agree with the Euro part. Euro was almost entirely the 2nd wave until 1-2 days before the event. You may have gotten the same amount of snow from the 2 systems but not because the euro was right. It completely missed Wave 1 and had a much stronger wave 2 until 24-36 hours. Take a look at the qpf trends. MD areas gained QPF because of wave 1(like the other models had it) but everywhere south continually cut back.
  24. LP08
    A question for the smarter people in the room. During this upcoming "cold" outbreak, why isn't there a response to 850s? Looping Hour 60 through 132 on the GFS, 850's are never below zero for a lot on the forum. We have had storms this year come at us from the SW this year where 850's have been fine but the surface is terrible. Why the switch now when there is actual surface cold? Forgive me if this is a dumb question.
  25. LP08
    These are the temps on approach. They improve during the storm but still are a few degrees warmer than previous runs. I'm a little gun shy about the extended depth of cold due to our previous storms.
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