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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. LP08
    Through 51, DC is hanging on or close to the flip, but the damage has been done. Looks great if we believe it.
  2. LP08
    At 45, main WAA slug is still positioned to go through the cities, compared to the NAM that has it further north in PA. Waiting on soundings for it
  3. LP08
    Through 33, heights on the 12z gfs are slightly higher and the 700 temps are a little north. ULL north of NE is slightly further east.
  4. LP08
    Probably a mix of Snow missiles and sleet bombs (Bob Chill quote I'm sure) if the rates materialize. Just gotta maximize the first 1-2 hours hopefully.
  5. LP08
    3k looks like mostly sleet, no soundings yet but pushes 700 temps further north than 6z.
  6. LP08
  7. LP08
    To my eyes its the best "Snow" run the Nam has had but not quite what the globals have.
  8. LP08
    Snow into Winchester by 9z. Flatter and a smidge colder.
  9. LP08
    I don't necessarily agree with the "Drying trend". Yes, the euro is no longer spitting out 1.4" of QPF but its, IMO, within normal run to run variance. As we near events, models will always trim the NW extent, but ill be there will be some meso band in the usual places. 12z yesterday through 6z today.
  10. LP08
    I'll take 1-2 hours of this before going over to all sleet. Won't be nice fluffy dendrites but just complete craziness.
  11. LP08
  12. LP08
    6z EURO. Basically the same as 0z.
  13. LP08
    You can feel the angst building. I had to watch Howard Bernstein on WUSA9 to feel better.
  14. LP08
    Ukie will make friends. Just awesome.
  15. LP08
    For sure, I can see you trying to explain it to people during college parties!
  16. LP08
    Alright, this is the one at Day three that won't slip through our fingers. Just this one.
  17. LP08
    This is still awfully close if not snow for DC up to 0z. Not that I trust the gfs thermals, its a good sign.
  18. LP08
    ICON similar to 18z. Mid 20s with precip on the doorstep at 12z. ETA: The heavies go through south of the cities.
  19. LP08
    Need a Wentz post about some rouge SW in NE Canada that will cause this storm to hit Binghamton to Boston.
  20. LP08
    Toggle the runs...its shifted east like 250 miles in 3 runs. Maybe they meet at some middle ground but the NAM is not close to the final solution, IMO.
  21. LP08
    Too funny not to post....
  22. LP08
    Thats your paint peeler on the nam...Holy Sleet
  23. LP08
    Very nice shift east with the max axis of precip. It will be there by 12z tomorrow in time for the thread...
  24. LP08
    Starts as snow in Winchester at 57
  25. LP08
    NAM has the ULL further west in SE Canada. Looks like heights in the midwest are not as high as 18z. Slightly flatter through 39
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