LP08
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Everything posted by LP08
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Nam maybe a tick colder through 12z. Sleet line through Stafford county. Any breathing room helps.
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Just illustrating the difference. I'm going to be extrapolating the radar like a mofo to see where its directed.
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It's all about that initial slug of WAA. That's the snow. HRRRRRRRR directs it right into the metros, some take it north, some take it south. Our accumulating snow chances are between 4am-10am.
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The only map that has loaded is the Kuchera. Every other panel is stuck at 23 hrs.
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Now you're trying too hard. Please link me to a LWX discussion where they EVER weigh those two. As someone said, the UKIE is great at nailing troughs in Islamabad but synoptically, its never trusted.
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Lol...rgem is still snowing at 0z Friday night. ETA: Saturday morning in the eastern areas.
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Maybe its a mix? Looks disruptive enough to cause issues but I'm not smart enough to decipher. Give me this radar and I'll take my chances I suppose.
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I Can't say I've seen a sleet sounding like this before. Cover your cars and wear a helmet.
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Damn close. I'm sure soundings will show it better.
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Another push south with the cold on the 0z Nam.
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He probably plotted the H in the wrong spot
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I laughed pretty good and also exactly what @Cobalt said.
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It’s the only reason we have any chance at all lol. The high position is not the reason we are flipping and not all snow. It’s practically ideal.
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Ugh. You’re right and I’m an idiot. Point remains lol.
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I don’t understand this post. The high is is in pretty good spot.
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Interesting is a lot nicer word than I would have used! Luckily it’s the only model really focusing that southern max of the initial push. I have a feeling that it will settle along a line from Winchester to northern Maryland, but without that dramatic drop in between.
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Yup. Longer duration too. All in all a better run for just about everyone.
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Definitely. That panel is wetter than 6z. I am resigned to the fact that we will mix (and probably mix earlier than models suggest) but everything on the EPS looked a hair colder.
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EPS colder and snowier for just about everyone than 6Z. This panel is money.
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Total Precip and all frozen north of Richmond.
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Or basically the Euro. Damnit, I'm turning into DT!
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You can set your watch to every storm that between the GFS and Euro run, people get contentious. Banterish first call. 2-4" snow/sleet through the "corridor" of us near the city. 4-8" NW and North of the line from Leesburg/Winchester to North of 495 in MD with local jackpots to 10".
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Through 51, DC is hanging on or close to the flip, but the damage has been done. Looks great if we believe it.
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At 45, main WAA slug is still positioned to go through the cities, compared to the NAM that has it further north in PA. Waiting on soundings for it
